Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
SB: $102 (102 bb)
BB: $123.72 (123.7 bb)
UTG: $113.49 (113.5 bb)
MP: $40 (40 bb)
Hero (CO): $110.03 (110 bb)
BTN: $100 (100 bb)
Preflop: Hero is CO with J
J
UTG raises to $3, MP folds, Hero calls $3, 2 folds, BB calls $2
Flop: ($9.50) 3
7
2 (3 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $5.50, BB folds, UTG calls $5.50
Turn: ($20.50) 5 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $14, UTG calls $14
River: ($48.50) 2 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $32.50, UTG raises to $90.99 and is all-in, Hero folds
Results:
Spoiler
$113.50 pot ($2.80 rake)
Final Board: 3 7 2 5 2
UTG mucked and won $110.70 ($55.70 net)
Hero mucked J J and lost (-$55 net)
Hi, his x/f is 51%, cb 3way is 62%.
X/c, x/c is 44%, same for x/c, x/c, x/f.
W$ when river x/r is 7/9.
W$ when river raise is 10/15.
Mp was a fish, so maybe his range is a little bit wider.
So on flop I chose sizing to let him quite comfortable x/c trice with worse, do you think it would be fine to bet pot 3 times and shove river with set or bluff?
On the river I think his range is 7x, maybe A3/A2 of diamonds and sometimes overpair, also 55 are possible or maybe even flopped set from time to time.
While playing I was thinking that he has mostly good shd value, so he wouldnt bluff here esp when he has so big w$.
I also thought he cb.
Now Im not so sure, him checking flop and 2 that came on the river drasticly reduces combos of sets. He looks very agro, so he might shove here with 76 or some A3.
