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nl100 aks

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tatartom
Joined: 03.11.2010


Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): $106.37 (106.4 bb)
BB: $193.19 (193.2 bb)
MP: $100 (100 bb)
CO: $115.33 (115.3 bb)
BTN: $74.12 (74.1 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K A
3 folds, Hero raises to $3, BB calls $2

Flop: ($6) 7 T J (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $4, Hero raises to $13.50, BB calls $9.50

Turn: ($33) 5 (2 players)
Hero bets $22, BB calls $22

River: ($77) 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $67.87 and is all-in

Hey, when he just calls x/r, should it be fine to triple even on blanks, because he probably has hand like T7 at best and I rep very nutted hand?
Against good reg I guess we need better blockers, cause he might be calling river with his capped top range, but when we got some average nl100 reg who seems to be folding bunch of rivers I thought I can bet and shove profitably expecting him to fold any Jx.


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6 replies
bulldozzer7
Joined: 07.11.2010

hm i agree that he is quite capped after turn however i am not so sure he will fold many bluffcathcers on this river
imo you dont really rep much and you could certainly play many bluffs like that
c/f river - imo


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Shoving this is certainly better than shoving X:cX:c or KQ.

I wonder what air hands u will show up with on the river. It's important to bluff with some of them.

This hand also has a small % of SD value. He will sometimes check back a hand like AQ/KQ and you will win the pot.


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tatartom
Joined: 03.11.2010

Hey, I would be bluff heavy here, because he is on wide range and people fold much to x/r.
Also I think its not too good flop to cb, Id rather x/r hand like Acxx or gutshots and weaker fd, so I guess Id have pretty wide air range on this river.
I think Id also x/r hand like 7x without club against him.

Of coure Id be bluffing here too much if I bet this hand, and this is what I wanted to ask about.
I thought htat if he is weaker reg (also he had overall 68% fold to river bet), then he will probably fold all of his top pairs by the river on any runout.

Besides, do you expect to have enough fold equity on this turn to just bet and give up blank rivers?


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

AK blocks AJ and KJ which is great. But then again I think he should probably call down all top pairs if he's good. So the A/K blockers aren't too important here.

Probably fine to shove some of the time, given that you have no clubs


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sandraardnas
Joined: 11.01.2012

Hey

1)if you have AcKx then would you bet turn? If yes, why?

2)Do you think its good option to shove will all bluffs if river is 8 or 9 (no club)?


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

1. Yes. Having A:c increases your FE on the turn since he won't have A:cX:c which will call the Turn. This also allows you to jam X:c rivers.

2. No. He has plenty of straights and 2 pairs and could very easily put you on a busted KQ AQ AK type of hand.


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