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15$ turbo, 88 vs recreational

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Zbiru
Joined: 13.05.2011

Hi!

PokerStars - $11.11+$2.78+$1.11|15/30 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: 1,650 (VPIP: 18.77, PFR: 15.69, 3Bet Preflop: 6.37, Hands: 546)
UTG+1: 1,390 (VPIP: 25.34, PFR: 15.94, 3Bet Preflop: 5.34, Hands: 446)
MP: 1,520 (VPIP: 15.38, PFR: 13.81, 3Bet Preflop: 5.95, Hands: 22,024)
MP+1: 2,579 (VPIP: 26.23, PFR: 13.51, 3Bet Preflop: 3.77, Hands: 374)
MP+2: 1,470 (VPIP: 14.81, PFR: 13.36, 3Bet Preflop: 4.85, Hands: 28,019)
CO: 683 (VPIP: 59.26, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 27)
Hero (BTN): 1,465
SB: 1,510 (VPIP: 19.09, PFR: 16.52, 3Bet Preflop: 4.88, Hands: 28,147)
BB: 1,233 (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)

SB posts SB 15, BB posts BB 30

Pre Flop: (pot: 45) Hero has 8♣ 8♦

fold, fold, fold, MP+1 raises to 90, fold, CO calls 90, Hero calls 90, fold, fold

Flop: (315, 3 players) 2♦ 4♠ 3♣
MP+1 bets 330, fold, Hero raises to 1,375 and is all-in, MP+1 calls 1,045

Turn: (3,065, 2 players) A♣

River: (3,065, 2 players) 6♣

Villain is rec. player, sample is quite small, but he has 6.0 AF. On flop I decided to push, cause of fact that I have quite high pp relative to the board, and on next streets is very high probality to see a higher cards. At the game I didn't noted that this very big c-bet is maybe scared about high cards which could drops on other streets and maybe he wanted protect a pp against this... And I beaten only 55-77 from pockets, but maybe he has few bluffs here, some air, A4 etc.? Maybe it's better to just fold on flop when I don't hit a set and this c-bet is that big?


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2 replies
ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

Decent sample on villain and he does not seem like maniac type and he does cbet big in 3way pot so folding would be ok. Next best option is to call imo. Keeps his possible air in pot and even if he has Ax with two overcards he will improve around 20% of time in turn. For me its best to take that risk and give him chance to bluff when flop is this dry. Of course if calling you should not fold in most turn cards.


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kurrkabin
Joined: 12.10.2010

Villain is not folding Ax if he is cbetting it this big(as he has 2 overs and a gutter), but he might on later streets if turn/riv come bad.
FWIW, he never has QQ+, even JJ is questionable. Most is 66-TT and maybe 55. I don't think a set takes that line. He can also have A4o as noted. We don't have great equity vs 55-TT, A4o, although it's not that bad. Some like a coinflip. If we add some more Ax, such as A6o+, then our equity improves significantly. I think his range is mostly narrowed to PP pairs though-55-TT. Tough choice! If you call-you open yourself for making mistakes, although it's prolly the better choice as opposed to stacking off. If we flat, we should not fold on most turns though if we face aggression.


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