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JJ NL10 speed ship vs sqz

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imfar
Joined: 20.07.2009

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $10.23 (102.3 bb)
BB: $12.34 (123.4 bb)
Hero (UTG): $12.50 (125 bb)
MP: $10.60 (106 bb)
CO: $10 (100 bb)
BTN: $22.22 (222.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with J J
Hero raises to $0.30, MP calls $0.30, CO folds, BTN raises to $1.35, 2 folds, Hero raises to $12.50 and is all-in, MP folds, BTN calls $11.15

Flop: ($25.45) 5 Q 6 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
Turn: ($25.45) 5 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: ($25.45) 6 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

$25.45 pot ($1.15 rake)
Final Board: 5 Q 6 5 6
Hero showed J J and lost (-$12.50 net)
BTN showed A A and won $24.30 ($11.80 net)

Villain:

Spoiler

Spoiler

Spoiler

MP is a TAG.

Squeeze vs UTG and MP looks strong epecially from a 18/15, but his squeeze overall is 9% and he 3Bets vs UTG 7% and 8% vs MP - not that tight. I am ahead vs his range I don't really like calling here because every Q,K and A is in his range very often and postflop play will be difficult for me. I know that he won't call me with worse hand, but will he fold often enough?


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Vs unknowns this is going to be a losing play at these limits.

His 3bet numbers are strange though he appears to be just 3betting 8% from everywhere and a little higher from the blinds. If he really has an 8% range shoving can be +EV but may not be hugely profitable or anything.

Calling is still a reasonable option and letting MP overcall.


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