UTG 23/20
AF:2,8
River AF:7,5
f to 3bet:35
f to 3bet UTG:0(4)
4bet:19(16)
fold to F cbet:17
WTSD:38
W$SD:35
428h.
OTF I expect him to call w a lot of hands. Overcards w backdoors, draws, overpairs.
OTT if I bet he will fold almost everything weaker and call w stronger hands. So because he floats OTF a lot, I decided to x/c.
OTR his bet sizing increases and that's a little bit weird for me. IMO he should be betting this sizing w stronger range like JJ-KK/88-77/flushes, but on the other hand I look really weak( don't have a lot of hands to call big bet OTR), so to me his sizing looks more bluffy in this spot. Based on his high river AF, low fold to F cb and low W$SD( of course sample size is small) + his bet sizes , I decided to call.
What do you think?
Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:
$0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
Known players:
[tg]BU$25.00:///////;SB$35.93:///////;BB (Hero)$55.68:///////;MP2$46.16:///////;MP3$25.35:///////;CO$32.52:///////;[/tg]
Preflop: Hero is BB with A:h, K:d.
MP2 raises to $0.75, 4 folds, Hero raises to $2.50, MP2 calls $1.75.
Flop: ($5.1) 3:d, 7:h, 8:s (2 players)
Hero bets $2.60, MP2 calls $2.60.
Turn: ($10.3) 3:s (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets $5.00, Hero calls $5.00.
River: ($20.3) 5:s (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets $14.50, Hero calls $14.50.
Final Pot: $49.3.