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T9o 2 pair vs river raise

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mlatasrb
Joined: 01.04.2012

PokerStars - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 308.08 BB (VPIP: 23.58, PFR: 18.70, 3Bet Preflop: 10.87, Hands: 124)
SB: 105 BB (VPIP: 13.98, PFR: 10.75, 3Bet Preflop: 5.26, Hands: 94)
Hero (BB): 278.78 BB
UTG: 132.8 BB (VPIP: 26.00, PFR: 17.00, 3Bet Preflop: 4.55, Hands: 103)
MP: 100 BB (VPIP: 20.55, PFR: 15.63, 3Bet Preflop: 8.57, Hands: 888)
CO: 112.96 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T♣ 9♥

fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 2.5 BB, fold, Hero calls 1.5 BB

Flop: (5.5 BB, 2 players) 3♦ 9♠ T♦
Hero checks, BTN bets 3.4 BB, Hero raises to 12 BB, BTN calls 8.6 BB

Turn: (29.5 BB, 2 players) A♥
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: (29.5 BB, 2 players) 2♣
Hero bets 20 BB, BTN raises to 64.3 BB, Hero calls 44.3 BB

Spoiler

BTN shows T♠ J♥ (One Pair, Tens)
(Pre 73%, Flop 19%, Turn 14%)
Hero shows T♣ 9♥ (Two Pair, Tens and Nines)
(Pre 27%, Flop 81%, Turn 86%)
Hero wins 153.1 BB

Do you think I have value on turn to bet turn and river ? I think he will fold turn or river JJ-KK, and fold draws on river, and will continue likely 2 pair+ on such runout?

When he checks, I think I have the nuts like always, I think nobody ever checks in this spot (draw heavy board after raise) any strong hand, and on blank river I should still have nuts (I dont expect villian to raise weak 2 pair)


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10 replies

I don't like the check on the turn because you miss value from alot of draw and risck to let him see free cards and get nothing on river.


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Originally posted by adeee3
I don't like the check on the turn because you miss value from alot of draw and risck to let him see free cards and get nothing on river.

+1

And OTR you can check and let him bluff his busted draws or even bet for thin value, idk, this one is tricky


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I think if we are going for the raise on the flop, we should continue on turn.
Although it is very villain dependant...


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mlatasrb
Joined: 01.04.2012

Why do you guys think that villian will mostly check his draws on turn (If you say I am losing value from draws)? also I think the value is very thin on this turn card.


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Originally posted by mlatasrb
Why do you guys think that villian will mostly check his draws on turn (If you say I am losing value from draws)? also I think the value is very thin on this turn card.

and you raise flop for what? to check/raise turn?


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FlashDavin
Joined: 25.10.2011

Villain will of course check behind on turn with draws when we represent such a strong range by check raising the flop. You need to bet turn large for value as well to charge draws. I can see check calling the river when the draws all miss as well to let him bluff and for pot control.


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mlatasrb
Joined: 01.04.2012

Originally posted by adeee3

Originally posted by mlatasrb
Why do you guys think that villian will mostly check his draws on turn (If you say I am losing value from draws)? also I think the value is very thin on this turn card.

and you raise flop for what? to check/raise turn?

flop I have clear 3 streets value, and on bad turn card I obviously dont. Plan was to cc turn and blank river.


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If you were 100bb deep I would likely bet turn and then decide if I want to bet river or c/c (most likely would c/c, unless we have aggressive history)
Imo river is standard b/c. I don´t expect him never to check back better hands than ours, so his river raise does not make any sense.


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mlatasrb
Joined: 01.04.2012

Originally posted by Kaitz20
If you were 100bb deep I would likely bet turn and then decide if I want to bet river or c/c (most likely would c/c, unless we have aggressive history)
Imo river is standard b/c. I don´t expect him never to check back better hands than ours, so his river raise does not make any sense.

Hi, great to have coach answer, thanks. If you also think that value is thin on turn (because you say you would likely cc river), then we can also check turn. If we bet all value hands on turn, villian has easy decision on turn once we check. Since I raise flop usually some GS, nut bdfd, weak OESD, fd, I would also check some of those on turn with a plan to give up. So If I never check hands on turn that will cr or cc turn, then villian will likely bet 100% of time turn to protect vs draws. So I think it is not bad at all if he checks with decent frequency turn, since most of my hands are draws having some outs. If he still bets wide turn, then I get more profit with T9 with a check. Understand what I mean?


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If turn is blank then I think you need to bet for value, since you can get called down turn and river from worse hands, but since A is both scary card for you and him then I think check/calling is better option.


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