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KTo 2.5$ Turbo P*

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18071987
Joined: 02.05.2007

PokerStars - $2.28+$0.22|150/300 Ante 25 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: 7.78 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 9)
UTG+1: 40.33 BB (VPIP: 51.22, PFR: 30.00, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 42)
Hero (MP): 6.47 BB
MP+1: 14.69 BB (VPIP: 15.05, PFR: 12.36, 3Bet Preflop: 6.06, Hands: 94)
MP+2: 21.68 BB (VPIP: 2.94, PFR: 3.13, 3Bet Preflop: 5.88, Hands: 34)
CO: 6.8 BB
BTN: 14.82 BB (VPIP: 5.00, PFR: 2.63, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 41)
SB: 13.17 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)
BB: 14.09 BB (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 2.94, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 36)

9 players post ante of 0.08 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.25 BB) Hero has T♦ K♠

I know that guys on UTG+1 playing fairy loose. He open of suit brodways when sitting on early position so I give him looserange for limping:

Let's calculate our profit when we going All IN.

He limping 34% hands
He will continue with 13% hands

So we have: 38% he will call and 62% he will fold

VS 13% hands we have 49% Equity

(0.62 x 975) + 0.38 ((0.49 x 2592) - (0.51 x 1917)) = 605 + 0.38 x (1270 - 978) = 605 - 111 = 494 cEV (1.6 BB+)

So if my calculation is correct and I give hime correct range we should have profit here.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I expect based on his aggressive VPIP and PFR stats on a low sample he will limp not too often from early position first in. I have no clue if he did it more already, but without info on him you need to be aware he can trap here as well. I’m folding still KTo without info he did this line earlier.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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