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NL16 QQ

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LuckyManFromLT
Joined: 12.11.2013

BU 16/13 AF:3.3 3b:5 cb F:83 530h.

CO 23/16 AF:1.8 donk:11(9) WTSD:30 W$SD:58 283h.

Pre: BU is nitty, first time he sqz, given positions IMO his range is super strong, I would fold JJ, but with QQ calling should be okay.

Flop: CO donks, his range should be 88-JJ/78s/maybe A7s/some FD's. How would you play vs his donk, call or raise?

River: When he x back OTT, IMO he has 88-JJ, which is afraid to bet on diamond turn and he might be slowplaying nut flush. I have less than pot size bet OTR, would you shove? bet smaller? IMO it's hard for him to call a shove w weaker hand, I don't have any bluffs in my range besides AdKx/AxKd.

Poker Stars $0.08/$0.16 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2717140
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

CO: $16.70
BTN: $16.00
SB: $19.32
BB: $16.32
Hero (UTG): $16.24
MP: $25.62

Pre Flop: ($0.24) Hero is UTG with Q :spade: Q :club:
Hero raises to $0.48, 1 fold, CO calls $0.48, BTN raises to $2.08, 2 folds, Hero calls $1.60, CO calls $1.60

Flop: ($6.48) 5 :diamond: 7 :club: 7 :diamond: (3 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $3.09, BTN folds, Hero calls $3.09

Turn: ($12.66) 4 :diamond: (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

River: ($12.66) 9 :spade: (2 players)
Hero ???


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5 replies
Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

I think he doesn't have that many flushes there, rather something like an overpair. Maybe we could bet like 1/2 and hope for calls from worse overpairs. If he raises, we are most likelly beaten.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

CO AF 1.8 is on the passive side. So bet/folding is my choice.


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VaskataBuci
Joined: 08.08.2011

I don't think we have fold otr if we bet and get raised. The question is if he is going to call pot size bet with TT-JJ.


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generals007
Joined: 17.09.2007

I'm check/calling that river. I don't think there's too much value in betting here, and imo he might well still have some pure bluffs in his range, although not many (he does hand selection pf, but might donk this dry and low board quite often to get broadways to fold in 3way pot). He might also put you on a low pocket pair and hope to get some value by raising JJ, TT, and I doubt he's putting you on a flush here. I think that we likely fold out what we beat if we bet, as already stated above.


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

I agree with the general (for the second time today). Targeting JJ/TT/88 is too narrow and then doing that with a pot-sized bet is in reality a pure bluff (which doesn't make much sense).


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