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FR, TPGK vs calling station

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Zanardi1
Joined: 04.01.2010

Pacific, $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $5.61 (140.3 bb)
Hero (BB): $4.01 (100.2 bb)
UTG+2: $3.71 (92.8 bb)
MP1: $3.77 (94.3 bb)
MP2: $3.71 (92.8 bb)
MP3: $1.45 (36.3 bb)
CO: $4.35 (108.7 bb)
BTN: $4.93 (123.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with J K
UTG+2 calls $0.04, MP1 folds, MP2 calls $0.04, MP3 calls $0.04, 2 folds, SB completes, Hero raises to $0.24, UTG+2 calls $0.20, 3 folds

Flop: ($0.60) 7 7 K (2 players)
Hero bets $0.38, UTG+2 calls $0.38

Turn: ($1.36) 5 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.80, UTG+2 calls $0.80

River: ($2.96) 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG+2 bets $2.29 and is all-in, Hero calls $2.29

Results: $7.54 pot ($0.44 rake)

Spoiler

Final Board: 7 7 K 5 9
Hero showed J K and won $7.10 ($3.39 net)
UTG+2 showed T K and lost (-$3.71 net)

Villain is a fish-wannabe, 40/7 from 15 hands.

In this hand, I think that I dodged the bullet, because my hand ranks towards the bottom of the continuation range on the turn and further streets. Because the villain limp/called, I won't think he has middling pairs, like 88 to 10-10, nor does he have JJ or QQ, otherwise he would have raised. So, what remains are :Kx: and :7x:. Even if I exclude :Ax::Kx:, because, again, he limp/called, plenty of hands that beat me will remain. Equilabbing the range that I gave to him, my results were:


Board: 7♦7♠K♣
       Equity  Win    Tie
UTG    63.92%  46.35%  17.57% { 77, A7s, KTs+, A7o, KTo+ }
BB     36.08%  18.51%  17.57% { KdJc }

What I want to know are the following things:

  • What to do OTT, if he calls the flop continuation bet? Fire another bet and hope he has a weaker hand? Check and give him a chance to do something?
  • What to do OTR? His bet looks very well like a value bet and I was very tempted to lay down the hand.
  • Finally, what is your opinion? Did I play bad and got lucky, or is a standard play?

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8 replies
YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

This reply will be of little value for your question, but anyway. My preference is to rarely squeeze versus limping-fish and never when they are UTG (except with monsters of course). The rationale is that the fold equity is roughly zero and that the professional limper/floater/bluffer has an edge because he is IP. He is not there to fold preflop or on the flop.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Originally posted by YohanN7
This reply will be of little value for your question, but anyway. My preference is to rarely squeeze versus limping-fish and never when they are UTG (except with monsters of course). The rationale is that the fold equity is roughly zero and that the professional limper/floater/bluffer has an edge because he is IP. He is not there to fold preflop or on the flop.

So if we do squeeze, we should be ready to barrel at least for 2 streets?


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

In fact KT is the worst hand there.


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Originally posted by nitrol

Originally posted by YohanN7
This reply will be of little value for your question, but anyway. My preference is to rarely squeeze versus limping-fish and never when they are UTG (except with monsters of course). The rationale is that the fold equity is roughly zero and that the professional limper/floater/bluffer has an edge because he is IP. He is not there to fold preflop or on the flop.

So if we do squeeze, we should be ready to barrel at least for 2 streets?

Yes, and I think this is important. Should you bluff a calling station? Perhaps, but only if you at least 2-barrel. Otherwise they get the best of you. They aren't there to lose - even if they are fish and calling stations in "our world".


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Sounds reasonable. What about the 3rd barrel here?


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Don't like a third barrel here because we aren't really bluffing and betting for value is super-thin. Bluff-catching is okay I think if we have him pegged down as a floating fish.


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generals007
Joined: 17.09.2007

I think this is well played on every street.


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