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PLO25 zoom - KKQTs UTG

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Necromadx
Joined: 24.01.2013

Poker Stars $25.00 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players - View hand 2807726
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $26.91 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 13, 3B: 4, AF: 4,4, Hands: 421
SB: $24.36 - VPIP: 31, PFR: 18, 3B: 0, AF: 0,8, Hands: 39
BB: $15.25 - VPIP: 43, PFR: 21, 3B: 0, AF: 0,3, Hands: 14
Hero (UTG): $67.47 - VPIP: 29, PFR: 18, 3B: 7, AF: 2,2, Hands: 59232
MP: $30.48 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 17, 3B: 7, AF: 2,7, Hands: 306
CO: $26.35 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 14, 3B: 9, AF: 3,5, Hands: 65

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is UTG with K :heart: K :club: Q :club: T :club:
Hero raises to $0.85, 1 fold, CO calls $0.85, 3 folds

Preflop I think it is standart open.

Flop: ($2.05) 6 :spade: T :heart: Q :spade: (2 players)
Hero bets $1.47, CO raises to $4.50, Hero raises to $15.46, CO raises to $25.50, Hero calls $10.04

Question is here, is it okay to get it in ? Once he raises SPR is around 2.7, so I need roughly 40-42% equity and I have that against combo draws, but if he has sets, I think that equity drops rapidly down and dont have it. Is better play to just call his raise and wait for a safe turn ? And fold to a spade ?

Turn: ($53.05) 2 :heart: (2 players)

River: ($53.05) J :diamond: (2 players)

Final Pot: $53.05
Hero shows K :heart: K :club: Q :club: T :club:
CO shows Q :heart: Q :diamond: 8 :club: J :spade:
CO wins $51.05
(Rake: $2.00)

Thanks in advance!


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2 replies
Padelbro
Joined: 21.01.2010

Problem waiting for a safe turn here is that you don't have very many of those... Every non-pairing card higher than 5 completes a straight, +flush cards. That's 16/45 safe cards (35%), 3 awkward 6's, 26/45 straight/flush cards.


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FlyingDutchm1n
Joined: 21.08.2012

Ok just a couple of things. First it is a Single Raised Pot, and I just think vs a stackoff range here (requiring a flop 4bet to get it in) you will not be in good shape vs a standard opponent. Also your spr calculation is faulty, it is not changed by the raise but is determined by your bet. You can recalculate this yourself by saying: if I want to get it in here, after my bet of 1.47 and villain being the smallest effective stack, how much do I now have to wager to get it in? The answer lies in calculating simple direct pot odds, the remainder of villains stack after his raise (which is a call of your bet PLUS an additional bet) which would be: 24.03 to win 53.05 which requires a breakeven equity of 45% and is thus definitely NOT an spr of around 2.6~2.7 which would indeed require 40-42% break even equity. There are indeed no safe turns so I would say fold flop or GII, but I would tend to fold (even though I am on the nittier side of the spectrum). If I fill in a range of sets in equilab or ppt and combodraws (which we block partially though) with the NFD, you will not have the required breakeven equity. From experience I would say I am very often shown a set here, or a monster draw vs which we are also behind. Always ask yourself with which range is villain so eager/willing to stack off in a SRP with 100bb stacks on this connected 2tone board? I would say a tight range. GL


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