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Flush draw and 2 overcards on the flop

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diminem99
Joined: 06.04.2015

Hi everyone,

In this hand villain check raises me all-in on the flop. What range can we put him on with a move like that? A flush draw and a pair? A flush draw and 2 overcards? If he has a strong hand like top pair, 2 pairs (unlikely considering the board) or a set, why would he take the risk to give me a free card?

Now I do have quite a few outs, and Equilab tells me I have around 50% equity to make this call.

Is it reasonable to make a call like this in this situation, knowing that it will cost me only half my stack? If it was for my full stack, I would probably snap fold not to risk my tournament on such a close spot, but for half a stack can we actually consider it?

PokerStars - €0.47+€0.03|20/40 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: 28.88 BB (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)
BTN: 22.73 BB (VPIP: 28.57, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)
SB: 27.38 BB (VPIP: 57.14, PFR: 57.14, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)
BB: 37.5 BB (VPIP: 27.18, PFR: 26.80, 3Bet Preflop: 3.57, Hands: 108)
Hero (UTG): 51.53 BB
MP: 57 BB (VPIP: 42.86, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9♣ A♣

Hero raises to 2.68 BB, fold, fold, fold, SB calls 2.18 BB, fold

Flop: (6.35 BB, 2 players) 7♣ 2♣ 4♠
SB checks, Hero bets 3.38 BB, SB raises to 24.7 BB and is all-in, Hero ???


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I expect he could easily has a set here. I would play a set the same way as he did, because you are the pre-flop agressor and it's likely you will make a Cbet on a board like this. It's difficult to set him on a flush draw as well, because you a drawing for the nuts. With so many outs I couldn't fold my hand either.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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heltucosta
Joined: 11.11.2009

He really did probably flopped a set or maybe a straight draw, but that doens't make him push like this.
If I had flopped a set, just like SDK said, I would play the same way. You will be CBetting 100% of flops here and he is just exploiting that.

I would fold as well here, don't like risking my tournament this early


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