IPoker, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
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SB: $12.31 (123.1 bb)
BB: $10.35 (103.5 bb)
CO: $10.85 (108.5 bb)
Hero (BTN): $10 (100 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with 5
A
CO folds, Hero raises to $0.21, SB folds, BB raises to $0.70, Hero raises to $1.60, BB calls $0.90
Flop: ($3.25) 9 Q J (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.80, BB calls $1.80
Turn: ($6.85) 8
(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $6.60 and is all-in, BB calls $6.60
Preflop: Standard open from the BTN. The reg (24/17) with 10,1% overall 3bet and 17% 3bet BB vs BTN decided to 3bet, so I decided to take a stab with A5o. It's a bit loose because my standard range in this situation would be like this:
Anyway, since he is more aggressive than it's usual, I think I can defend a bit wider range and A5o could probably be a decent 4bet bluff hand. He folded to 4bet 2 times out of 3 occasions (1 of 2 when was OOP). Maybe my 4bet range would look like this vs him:
When he calls my 4bet, I think he has something like:
Flop: I hit a good flop with the nut flushdraw, but it also hits his range quite good. Against the range I gave him preflop (QQ-TT,AQs+,AKo), I have 38% of equity, but more important is my fold equity in this situation, imo. I have a great fold equity vs hands that are better than mine - AK on the flop and AQ, TT by the turn (K and 8 non club would not be the best cards on the turn). I expect QQ, JJ to check/shove the flop, in which case I would be in bad shape, but if we assume that he sometimes has AQ or a bluff/semi-bluff, I have to call the shove and it would be a very close call.
Anyway, when we hit the nut flushdraw in a 4bet pot, I think we usually have to be prepared to go broke on the flop/turn, so my plan was to bet/call the flop and shove the turn if he check/calls the flop. I should probably cbet the flop a bit bigger to set my turn size better. He folds 53% to flop cbets.
I came to this spot with the range of 8,37%. In a 4bet pot, I probably want to cbet like 50%, which is range of 4,2%. So, my cbetting range would look like this:
(TT+,AQs,AcKc,Ac8c,Kc8c,Ac7c,Kc7c,Ac6c,Kc6c,ATo,AdKc,AhKc,AsKc,AcKd,AcKh,AcKs,Ac5d,Ac5h,Ac5s,Ac4d,Ac4h,Ac4s) - 4,90%.
Turn: Not the best card because TT is never folding now, but as planned on the flop, I decided to shove. Something like AK:club: and AQ is likelly folding and I still have the equity with the nut flushdraw, even against sets+.
K♣: in this spot. I don't think you have enough fold equity to justify the push.
