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6max Bubble 11bb effective Q9s Resteal BB?

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Grisuuu
Joined: 23.04.2014

Hey Guys, :f_drink:

BU is a solid TAG-Reg with 21/15 and Steal40 over 60 Hands, i expect him to raise here pretty wide to apply some ICM-Pressure, not ATC put around 70% , due the attractive Pot-odds he might call with 30% of his Range so but that in Icmmizer its a +0,5% Repush.

What do u Guys think did i made accurate Assumptions? (i took Flatcalling out of my Options, i will need to hit that Flop (MP+,Flush or Straightdraw to continue) i saw enough Foldequity in this Spot to decide to push.

Cheers Tony

Pacific, $9.20 Buy-in (100/200 blinds, 20 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 3 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 2,249 (11.2 bb)
Hero (BB): 2,188 (10.9 bb)
BTN: 4,563 (22.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q 9
BTN raises to 479, SB folds, Hero raises to 2,168 and is all-in, BTN calls 1,689

Flop: (4,496) 6 Q 8 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
Turn: (4,496) 3 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: (4,496) J (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

4,496 pot
Final Board: 6 Q 8 3 J
Hero showed Q 9 and won 4,496 (2,308 net)
BTN showed A A and lost (-2,188 net)


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4 replies
CPallo
Joined: 12.04.2012

Do you have any notes on your villain how he is stealing? If he has always opened 2,4bb there, then I think 3-bet shove is more than fine. If you would know that he usually pushes here when you are close to 10bb, this would be way too suspicious and I'd give up.

If our opponent is a player who steals a lot and folds to raise, then I think this is more than fine.


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Grisuuu
Joined: 23.04.2014

thx Cpallo i do not got any special reads on this player (its his usual raisesizing, more than 2x)


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Sounds like a reasonable shove as short stack against a chip leader that's always raising like this.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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Grisuuu
Joined: 23.04.2014

thx SDK


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