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АА - 11$ МТТ

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ma6inata100
Joined: 03.07.2011

So in this phase of the tournament there are less than 100 players left and with my stack i am in top 15. Not much info about the players as you can see i am from little time at this table. The thing that i know about my opponent is that he is Sueprnova.
So how should i play vs his check/raise on the flop ( call or hard fold ) ? What hands can he have in his range according to you ?

PokerStars - $10+$1|2800/5600 Ante 700 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

mgalajumbo (UTG): 169,326 (VPIP: 11.11, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 18)
Glasgowguy18 (UTG+1): 236,293 (VPIP: 23.53, PFR: 17.65, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 18)
ma6inata100 (MP): 311,701
Yura_Add (MP+1): 240,091 (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 5.56, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 18)
elr0s (MP+2): 61,018 (VPIP: 17.65, PFR: 17.65, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 18)
el canbass (CO): 700,966 (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 18)
pneuff (BTN): 143,068 (VPIP: 5.56, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 18)
mr.LOGGe (SB): 174,521 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)
bretty12345 (BB): 101,349 (VPIP: 22.22, PFR: 22.22, 3Bet Preflop: 50.00, Hands: 18)

9 players post ante of 700, mr.LOGGe posts SB 2,800, bretty12345 posts BB 5,600

Pre Flop: (pot: 14,700) ma6inata100 has A♣ A♠

mgalajumbo raises to 11,200, Glasgowguy18 calls 11,200, ma6inata100 raises to 32,841, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, mgalajumbo calls 21,641, fold

Flop: (91,582, 2 players) K♠ J♦ 9♣
mgalajumbo checks, ma6inata100 bets 45,791, mgalajumbo raises to 135,785 and is all-in, ma6inata100 = ?


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3 replies
sooley570
Joined: 27.11.2010

I think it is most likely a one pair/straight draw Broadway kind of hands in his range here that he is doing this with like QJ, K10, KQ, KJ, Q10, J10 because they play well post flop so he is more likely to just flat call your raise even out of position, see a flop and reassess once he sees what comes. It's possible it is AK if he puts you on that same kind of range and wants to protect his hand (although AK I think it is pretty likely he would of 4bet plus you have 2 aces as blockers).

I think AQ is unlikely but depending on his perception of you and if he thinks his A is good but I'm not sure he would flat with AQ out of position and then check raise the flop all in after being 3bet on this flop but it depends on the kind of player that they are with no reads AQ probably can be ruled out especially considering the blockers again.

99+ I think there is a good chance he would of just 4bet pre flop so I think it is pretty likely you can rule out a set or QQ.

All in all I think I would call here there is just too many hands that are 1 pair with draws and even if he has KJ you aren't drawing dead and you still have enough chips left if you loose to still do well in the tournament plus you have already put in over 45k on the flop.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I wouldn’t raise KJ from UTG and that’s for all lower broadways also the case. So I would say he has to often only a 1 pair hand in combination with a draw like KQ. Also it’s pretty tricky with his small stack to call with a pocket pair OOP for set value only, but I wouldn’t call with any hand OOP with a 30bb stack on a 3bet.

So it’s difficult to set him on a hand you couldn’t beat I think. So I would stack off here as well.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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ma6inata100
Joined: 03.07.2011

What i think after a few days after this hand and some comments from athore players.

let's say opening range : 77+, A9s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, T9s, 98s, 87s, AJo+, KQo (11,46%)
after a call from UTG+1 and squezee from me UTG +2 with what hands will he continue maybe this range : 99+, AJs+, KQs, QJs, AQo+, KQo (6,94%)
So on this board which hands he will play with check/raise : KK+, JJ, 99, AKs, KQs, QJs, AKo, KQo (4,5%)
So vs this range i am a little ahead 55% vs 45%.

So my actions on flop : when i bet then i can not fold because of the odds. ( just after the hand i thought i can find a fold in this situation, but obviously it is not right play). So because the board hit a lot of from his range i can check behind to keep his range wide. That concept was told me from a very experience MTT player.

All players which write down their comment said that pairs OOP should be pushed preflop so i can put out of his range. But the firs thought that came in my mind after his check/raise was "OMG he hitted a set ! " so i really have thoughts about folding in this situation during the game, because my AA blocked a lot of combos but then i calculate the chips and said you can not fold in this situation and here is the rest of the hand :

Spoiler

ma6inata100 calls 89,994

Turn: (363,152, 2 players) 3♣

River: (363,152, 2 players) 5♦

mgalajumbo shows J♣ J♥ (Three of a Kind, Jacks)
(Pre 19%, Flop 89%, Turn 95%)
ma6inata100 shows A♣ A♠ (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 81%, Flop 11%, Turn 5%)
mgalajumbo wins 363,152

So at the end my conclusion is that i have played the hand ok, and have not make a mistake and the player who has not play the hand in the right way and was lucky was my opponent.


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