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Straight draw, flush draw, royal flush... easy fold?

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RobG94
Joined: 27.11.2015

Hi, I am fairly new to playing poker, and even newer at this forum so please be nice, if this is the wrong part of the forum, I apologise... I just wanted an opinion from people who know what they are talking about.

My chip stack: 18000
Average chip stack: 20000
Blinds: 400/800

I'm on the big blind with K♠: J♦:
4 callers, I then raise 3000
UTG+1 calls. Everyone else folds
Pot is now 10000

Flop: A♦: K♦: Q♦:

I bet half the pot (5000) , he pushes all in for 25000
I had to assume I was up against at least an ace. With the nut flush draw, straight draw and middle pair, but only middle pair, should I have folded at this point?
The player had been very aggressive all game and was very loose with his chips, even though this was a knockout tournament.

Anyway, I called, reluctantly...

Turn: A♦: K♦: Q♦: 9♦:
River: A♦: K♦: Q♦: 9♦: Q♣:

He showed A♣: Q♠:

Should I not have bet the flop? Or should I have only called the all-in if I flopped a set, or already hit the royal flush? What would you have done?


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7 replies
Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Hi, RobG94,
Welcome to PokerStrategy.com!
For future reference, our mighty mod powers give us the ability to move whole threads at once.

I did so, and removed the re-post, since no-one had replied yet.

All the best,
VS


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Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Oh, yes -- the hand,
Hmmm, On that flop, I think that the two best choices are:
:diamond:  check behind -- if you hit your flush UTG cannot call your shove. This gives you the opportunity to shove when you make your flush OTT -- let villain call if he wants. If he hits his outs, well, that's poker.

Oh wait -- if you are BB, and he is UTG, then you act first. Checking behind is not an option. That leaves...

:diamond:  Shove -- this is a semi-bluff, but it will likely fold out all hands except those that already beat you -- but you have outs vs those. If a made flush or straight exists, you have have fewer outs, but they are all good. Again, if villain calls here -- and he might -- the outcome would have been the same.

Betting small OTF won't fold out many made hands except a few pairs, and few worse will call. It also gives villain a chance to do exactly what he did.

I'm super-tight in tournaments, so for me this is a fold pre-flop especially with a raise and two callers before me. I think that too often this hand is dominated by AK, AJ even KQ hands. Even Ace-rag hands have more equity than us pre-flop.

I'm curious to see what others think about this hand. This is a spot where I think I make a lot of mistakes, but I never know whether my mistake was calling or folding. <sigh>

All the best,
VS


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I am not the expert ofc, but I would not raise with KJo out of position against 4 limpers with only ~20 BB left in my stack. It does not look like raise for value, nor does it look like bluff - the bet is too small for that.

But anyways, we need to determine whether you can make a profitable call after the flop or not.
After the flop and after continuation bet you are left with around 9200 chips. The pot is 15000 (10000 + 5000 raise), and the guy shoves all-in. Of course you need to call only 9200 of his 25000 push, so it's 9200 / 24200(the actual pot size after his push) + 9200 = 0.27 (or 27%).
Your hand needs to have only 27% of equity to make this call profitable.
Even against a very specific push range (AQs-ATs,KQs,AJo+,KQo) your hand has 45% equity, which is more than enough.

TLDR: Preflop not good, flop call is fine.


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I would check pre-flop as well. Other option would be a shove I think.
Then you will win the pot a lot of the time without a showdown and then you don’t play a big pot out of position.

As played I would stack off as well for 10k chips more. You have the best draw possible here.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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Gawdless73
Joined: 11.09.2015

I would have shoved flop, the river sucks in hindsight but you have 2nd pair and a ton of outs.


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