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AQs - Bluff on paired flop with flush draw

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SammyW1000
Joined: 25.06.2011

Poker Stars, $0.75 Buy-in (75/150 blinds, 20 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools by CardRunners - Hand Details

Hero (CO): 2,435 (16.2 bb)
BTN: 2,905 (19.4 bb)
SB: 12,724 (84.8 bb)
BB: 4,805 (32 bb)
UTG+1: 2,660 (17.7 bb)
UTG+2: 6,193 (41.3 bb)
MP1: 2,495 (16.6 bb)
MP2: 4,667 (31.1 bb)
MP3: 3,000 (20 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q A
UTG+1 calls 150, UTG+2 calls 150, 3 folds, Hero calls 150, BTN calls 150, SB folds, BB checks

Flop: (1,005) 7 J 7 (5 players)
BB checks, UTG+1 checks, UTG+2 checks, Hero bets 2,265 and is all-in, BTN raises to 2,735 and is all-in, 3 folds

Turn: (5,535) A (2 players, 2 are all-in)
River: (5,535) J (2 players, 2 are all-in)

Spoiler

Villain had QsJs

Really unsure about a few things with this hand.

1) With AQs in late position with two callers is calling acceptable? A normal raise would be 750 which, if I had to leave it behind in the face of a re-raise or a raise on a flop I'd missed, would leave me with 1685 and an uphill struggle to double up enough times to get in the money. I felt a pre-flop shove would be too risky though at this stage. The 150 seemed a reasonable price to pay in order to see what developed on the flop and in general the table had not been particularly aggressive raising over callers from late position/blinds.

2) Once I have got to the flop and seen three checks before me - is it a valid play to shove in this position? My thinking was that there weren't many hands that could call me and be ahead and even hands like KJ,QJ were only a little ahead of me. The only hands that were comfortably ahead seemed to me to be hands with a 7 in them and maybe a very conservatively played JJ. With that in mind I thought it was worth the risk?


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4 replies
RedHeater
Joined: 08.10.2010

I would shove this pre. I'm not sure why you think its risky, the first two players have not shown any aggression and then you just have the button and the blinds. AQs is one of the best hands you can be dealt, so I would get it in and be happy.


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ma6inata100
Joined: 03.07.2011

1) With AQs in late position with two callers is calling acceptable? - NO . You should shove here with this stack and this kind of hand. If everybody folds you increase you stack with almost 30%. Normal raise is not good option because you would invest a 1/4 of you stack in the pot. And it is hard to play postflop with so small stack.

2) Once I have got to the flop and seen three checks before me - is it a valid play to shove in this position? - NO. So the only think that calls you, will beat you. So in this kind of situation, it is not good decision to over push. I prefer 40-50% pot bet. even a check is good decision here because you are in a limp pot and it is hard to define players ranges. But we small bet you can take some info where you are in the hand and there will be worse hands that could call this kind of bet.


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Afulibador
Joined: 21.08.2009

Sam, if u were a bit deeper, like 30bbs, this can be a call. With just 16bbs and two callers in front of u, its a shove.
As played I really think we dont have value on shoving here. To be honest, I would just check and try to see what turn brings.


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Malendes
Joined: 03.04.2011

Shove pre for sure :f_cool:


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