Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

Bottom Set - sizing ?

6 Posts
4 Users
0 Reactions
507 Views
schelleXL
Joined: 05.05.2011

Hello,

just a quick question

is the sizing okay ?
I give him on his draws only : 88-99 & KQ a 24% chance of hitting
and he has to call 1.4 for a pot of 6.8 => 22% So his call is correct with his draw hands to the nuts.

I know his range is bigger then this but I think I should have made it bigger vs his draws and I'm not even considering that the other callers also may get good odds (or make the 1st callers odds better).

So raising to 3.5$-4$ might be better. I think I saw here the following principle : 3 x OR + half pot + 1 x OR for every caller => 0.8 * 3 + 0.8 * 1 + 0.6 = 3.8 $

what do you think ?

CO: $5.88 (VPIP: 36.36, PFR: 4.55, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 22)
BTN: $11.12 (VPIP: 16.01, PFR: 12.32, 3Bet Preflop: 5.53, Hands: 1,366)
Hero (SB): $11.49
BB: $10.00 (VPIP: 13.33, PFR: 8.89, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 45)
UTG: $10.00 (VPIP: 18.67, PFR: 10.28, 3Bet Preflop: 2.39, Hands: 764)
UTG+1: $10.05 (VPIP: 14.38, PFR: 10.40, 3Bet Preflop: 3.71, Hands: 2,636)
MP: $12.88 (VPIP: 27.78, PFR: 5.56, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 18)
MP+1: $11.30 (VPIP: 24.68, PFR: 19.30, 3Bet Preflop: 8.21, Hands: 543)

Hero posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has 7♥ 7♠

fold, fold, fold, MP+1 raises to $0.30, fold, BTN calls $0.30, Hero calls $0.25, BB calls $0.20

Flop: ($1.20, 4 players) 7♣ T♠ J♦
Hero checks, BB checks, MP+1 bets $0.80, BTN calls $0.80, Hero raises to $2.20, fold, fold, fold

Spoiler

Hero wins $3.44


Reply
Quote
5 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

you have to bet flop yourself here. You have a set, we are multiway and the board is connected. As played your raise can be a bit bigger but I think that is not bad. You can't put villain only on draws so your calculations are very much incorrect. And you have assigned a range for MP only, did you forget BTN?


Reply
Quote
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Agree. MW we should bet ourself. Board is wet and if the action go x-x-x villains will get a free card.
I like to raise bigger hereand try to get it in by the turn. Or some thing like that...


Reply
Quote
schelleXL
Joined: 05.05.2011

La55i,

as I told I'm not just putting him on draws but vs the draws alone I'm giving a bad price

I should have bet that's for sure vs 3 other players


Reply
Quote
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Make solid bets.


Reply
Quote
srna10
Joined: 17.12.2010

Agree with donking flop, turn also.
As played, raise should be bigger, around $4-$4.5. Don't give them odds to call, with implied odds this is easy call with draws.


Reply
Quote