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KK set on wet board

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sergii1984
Joined: 23.04.2011

Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $12.34 (246.8 bb)
BB: $2.40 (48 bb)
Hero (MP): $5 (100 bb)
CO: $6.62 (132.4 bb)
BTN: $5.19 (103.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP with K K
Hero raises to $0.20, CO folds, BTN calls $0.20, SB folds, BB calls $0.15

Flop: ($0.62) J Q 9 (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.39, BTN calls $0.39, BB folds

Turn: ($1.40) K (2 players)
Hero bets $1, BTN raises to $4.60, Hero ?????

BTN:

20/17 3bet 8,4
Fold to cbet F/T 50/0
AF 3.8
WWSF 55
W$SD 33
Afreg F/T 50/29
H: 390

Hi
what is correct decision turn? I got set but booard is connected


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32 replies
marsa08
Joined: 30.01.2014

I believe that you can fold top set on one to a straight board even though this is our best bluffcatcher.


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sebralane
Joined: 18.09.2009

Cant fold imo.
Board is connected and he donks.
He/she might donk with 2pair and other sets also.
Even thos you lose to Tx it´s a call


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Is 4bb open your standard from MP?
I think I would call OTT. There is a small chance that villain has 99,JJ,QQ that he didn't raise OTF and if he has that T we still have 10 outs.


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marsa08
Joined: 30.01.2014

Did not notice that you gave stats for villain. He seems aggro and mabye we can then call with KK and fold the rest bluffcatchers. Against passive villain id lean torwards folding.


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marsa08
Joined: 30.01.2014

Originally posted by sebralane

Board is connected and he donks.

Villain can not donk bet as he is in position.


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marsa08
Joined: 30.01.2014

Originally posted by la55i
Is 4bb open your standard from MP?
I think I would call OTT. There is a small chance that villain has 99,JJ,QQ that he didn't raise OTF and if he has that T we still have 10 outs.

It would be just a weird line from villain to slowplay a set otf and then raise all in when the one to a straight card comes...


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

KJ,KQ then :) And these guys do sometimes something weird.


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KingKlaas
Joined: 13.12.2008

Isn't it better to check/call turn?
Normally that's less expensive to bluffcatch.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Villain didn't show aggression OTF. Why would we check when we hit strong?


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Originally posted by sebralane
Cant fold imo.
Board is connected and he donks.
He/she might donk with 2pair

No-one is donking here. He raises.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Originally posted by marsa08
I believe that you can fold top set on one to a straight board even though this is our best bluffcatcher.

I agree with this. Notice that raise is a push.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Originally posted by marsa08
Did not notice that you gave stats for villain. He seems aggro and mabye we can then call with KK and fold the rest bluffcatchers. Against passive villain id lean torwards folding.

Villain's turn AF is not that huge. In this board sets are raising on flop. We should fold. If he by some sick idea bluffed us- good game, have fun. Most of the time we are vs a straight.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Originally posted by la55i
Villain didn't show aggression OTF. Why would we check when we hit strong?

We didn't hit strong. There is a straight possibility and what hands will call out bet?


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Originally posted by marsa08

Originally posted by la55i
Is 4bb open your standard from MP?
I think I would call OTT. There is a small chance that villain has 99,JJ,QQ that he didn't raise OTF and if he has that T we still have 10 outs.

It would be just a weird line from villain to slowplay a set otf and then raise all in when the one to a straight card comes...

It will not be weird. It is impossible.
Even fish will raise sets and 2p there.


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KingKlaas
Joined: 13.12.2008

What you want here on this board: call his raise and see 80% of hands a 10 and have 10 outs.
Or check/call for around 1$ and hope to hit full house and may be he checks...
That's my decision..


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Dadramel
Joined: 10.08.2014

Go for bigger bet otf. Either he has T or not, it's crystal-ball gazing.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Xc turn is more reasonable for me. We cannot be raised and we can see a river.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Imo we cannot get scared every time there is better hand possible. I already said that villain can have weaker sets and two pair. His range is not 100% T's. Ofc we can x/c but I don't think betting would be bad. Basically if we are going to check call we can bet ourselves too.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Originally posted by nitrol

Originally posted by marsa08

Originally posted by la55i
Is 4bb open your standard from MP?
I think I would call OTT. There is a small chance that villain has 99,JJ,QQ that he didn't raise OTF and if he has that T we still have 10 outs.

It would be just a weird line from villain to slowplay a set otf and then raise all in when the one to a straight card comes...

It will not be weird. It is impossible.
Even fish will raise sets and 2p there.

I think that statement is as false as it can be. Fish are perfectly capable of slowplaying good hands. Their mind works like this: i don't want to scare people out of the pot. Very often they will raise sets and 2 pair but you cannot say that it is impossible.


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