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QQ bluffing the river

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Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $27.40 (109.6 bb)
BB: $25.35 (101.4 bb)
UTG: $25.35 (101.4 bb)
MP: $20.90 (83.6 bb)
Hero (CO): $27.71 (110.8 bb)
BTN: $15.51 (62 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q Q
UTG raises to $0.50, MP folds, Hero calls $0.50, 3 folds

Flop: ($1.35) 6 T J (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $0.85, UTG calls $0.85

Turn: ($3.05) 8 (2 players)
UTG bets $1.25, Hero calls $1.25

River: ($5.55) A (2 players)
UTG bets $2.53, Hero raises to $8.50, UTG raises to $22.75, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

$22.55 pot ($1.01 rake)
Final Board: 6 T J 8 A
UTG mucked and won $21.54 ($10.44 net)
Hero mucked Q Q and lost (-$11.10 net)

Do you think it is good to raise the river? I did get good odds to call but i didnt feel that i am ahead of his range. And because i had the best blocker to the nuts i thought that a raise maybe good because he wont have that many hand to call. This 1/2 potbet seemed to me like a potbet. Also his WTSD was really low.

20/14/1.5
Fcbet: 78
Aggr: 63,60,42
WTSD: 21
UTG openraise: 16
354 hand


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5 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I don't think it is good to raise OTR. Maybe it would be even better to fold? What is your reasoning for river raise?
Villains flop cbet is high, right? Isn't is suspicious that he check calls OTF and then donks turn? Villains line is very confusing but if that turn donk was a weird attempt to bluff I think he would give up OTR often.


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_Anonymous_ Topic starter
_Anonymous_

I think the best hands he can have here are two pairs. Imo he would bet more than that with set or straight. He can have some Ax fd, AJ. But I dont really know his range either because x/c then making a small donkbet ott as a preflop aggressor on a flop like this is not that common. I also have a 16 UTG openraise range, and I dont always open KQo from UTG. So if he has some two pairs, and call my river raise it I dont mind, but I did this move because he had a very low WTSD and he hasnt made any sense with his line.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Because his line doesn't make any sense and his bets are small this looks like a trap to me. The fact that villain did 3bet you OTR supports my theory also.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I think his line is awkward and I would not pump the pot more.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Originally posted by la55i
Because his line doesn't make any sense and his bets are small this looks like a trap to me. The fact that villain did 3bet you OTR supports my theory also.

Exactly. I have seen AA play like this many times.


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