NL16 AKs UTG Dry board

Bet/fold.

Yes, we want here weaker hands to call and fold vs aggression

I guess our opponent cc on thr BTN vs UTG with JJ-22,A2s+,K9s+,Q9s+,J9s+,T9s,98s,87s,76s
He just call on dry flop with JJ-TT, 77-66, 9d9h, 9d9s, 9h9s, 8d8h, 8d8c, 8h8c, 5d5s, 5d5c, 5s5c, QTs+, JTs, 76s, AsKs, AcKc, AcQc, KsQs, KcQc, AcJc, KsJs, KcJc, KsTs, KcTc, As9s, Ks9s, Qd9d, Qh9h, Qs9s, Jd9d, Jh9h, Js9s, Td9d, Th9h, Ts9s, Td8d, Th8h, Tc8c, 9d8d, 9h8h, 8d7d, 8h7h, 8c7c, Ac5c

Turn : He again just cc, I guess he would call with JJ-TT, 88-66, 9d9h, 9d9s, 9h9s, 5d5s, 5d5c, 5s5c, QTs+, JTs, 87s, 76s, AsKs, AcKc, KsQs, KcQc, KsJs, KcJc, KsTs, KcTc, Ad9d, As9s, Ks9s, Qd9d, Qh9h, Qs9s, Jd9d, Jh9h, Js9s, Td9d, Th9h, Ts9s, 9d8d, 9h8h, 9s8s, Ad5d, Ac5c.

River: I guess any bet makes us committed. Really, Are we going to bet fold here? How much are we going to bet here? 30BB and fold? We have no XF. My opinion we need to bet 30-40 as provoce bet, lots of his draws missed. Small bet would look like a weakness. So, opponent could shove with weaker 2pairs. Yes, we still can't beat 99,55,88., but to me it is just the cooler.

Can you put the ranges in equilab and see your equity on each street? I think it makes the picture more complete.

Our hand is too strong for a xf on river.

We have only 61,44bb left on the river in a pot of 118,69bb. So bet/folding isn’t a option and I would most likely shove here. Other option would be check/call, but that can cost you value I think.

Cheers,
SDK1987

I think this is pretty easy bet fold.
We improve to top 2 pair OTR so it is a bet for sure. If villain raises us, it is usually super strong line and I don't see any other hands than slowplayed sets there. Villain won't raise as a bluff, so the question is, does he do it with weaker value hands? If we have no info that villain is a aggro fish, then probably he has sets only.

You have 1/2 pot bet otr, so bet / fold is out of question. Push is the best option imo, he should have at least some combos of 98s. Villain also may have something like KQs or KJs that sometimes may also try to bluffcatch.

Ok, we should bet and as we have less than a pan and we cannot fold, then push.