How often should I be concerned to be up against a flush on the turn? I guess I can never fold here since I only need to call a little more than what is in the pot already. And I think people like to bluff here a lot. I did not put him om AJo though, never imagine he would call a raise with that preflop, so I thought QQ-TT was a likely holding and some suited connectors as well as AQ, AK with clubs.
But if we suppose he make this play with the range AA,QQ-99,AcQc,AcJc,AcTc,KcQc,QcJc,JcTc,Tc9c. On the turn I still have 54% equity against his range. Assuming he is bluffing sometimes it is even better.
PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (BTN): 88.8 BB
SB: 100 BB (VPIP: 40.00, PFR: 40.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 6)
BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
UTG: 145.5 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 50.00, 3Bet Preflop: 100.00, Hands: 2)
MP: 152.6 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 50.00, 3Bet Preflop: 100.00, Hands: 2)
CO: 55.1 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K♦ K♠
UTG raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, Hero raises to 10.5 BB, fold, fold, UTG calls 7.5 BB
Flop: (22.5 BB, 2 players) 3♣ 6♥ 9♣
UTG bets 10.7 BB, Hero calls 10.7 BB
Turn: (43.9 BB, 2 players) 4♣
UTG bets 124.3 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 67.6 BB and is all-in
River: (179.1 BB, 2 players) 3♥
UTG shows A♣ J♥ (One Pair, Threes)
(Pre 29%, Flop 17%, Turn 27%)
Hero shows K♦ K♠ (Two Pair, Kings and Threes)
(Pre 71%, Flop 83%, Turn 73%)
Hero wins 171 BB
