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zoom KK sb/bb , b-b-c/x on wet

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vengeance77
Joined: 18.04.2010

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): $40.53 (162.1 bb)
BB: $31.72 (126.9 bb)
UTG: $25 (100 bb)
MP: $27.46 (109.8 bb)
CO: $37.65 (150.6 bb)
BTN: $11.60 (46.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K♠: K♦:
4 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, BB calls $0.50

Flop: ($1.50) 6♣: 4♣: 3♦: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.94, BB calls $0.94

Turn: ($3.38) J♥: (2 players)
Hero bets $2.13, BB raises to $4.51, Hero calls $2.38

River: ($12.40) 4♠: (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $11.75, Hero calls $11.75


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3 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

And the thought process is....?
Tell me something about the turn call...


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

I would bet the flop bigger because of a drawy board (to charge draws) and the fact that all overpairs will call no matter the size. Would stick to the Baluga Theorem on the turn and bet/fold.


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

On the turn, you can safely assume that all nut hands are in his range. Those are 28 combos (yes, I'd definitely play 75 offsuit IP vs YOU for a measly 2 bb pre). Count the draws he might have. There are relatively few straight draws (those would be A5 or gutshots) and maybe 30 possible flush draws. Okay, he has enough possible draws to warrant a little bit of thinking. Three questions:

  • How likely is he to raise turn with weak draws (against you)?
  • If he decides to raise weak draws against you, would he raise that small (against you)?
  • Is he likely to raise AJ for value (against you)?

I'd say you have to fold on turn. Only the third bullet speaks for a call (and that is damned thin and assumes he knows you are aggressive as few). Attributing to him the ability to figure out that we figure out his turn bet is too small for a drawing hand seeking FE is attributing to him is too much. He is not doing overly clever bet sizing. As played, it would be inconsistent, but perhaps still correct, to fold river. Call if you stand by your turn read which presumably differs from mine.


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