SH 99, Set Facing Turn Raise

Do you always open 2.5bb from UTG?
I think this kind of villain should not call with QJ or J8 vs UTG. Maybe he still has some combos of at least QJ.
Still there are some weaker hands in his range, like JT,T9,KT (maybe), 77.. But I'm not sure why he would raise turn with draws and not flop..

I wouldn't want to fold this here but if we call we probably would go broke on the river if it blanks? Maybe we can just shove and hope to see 77,KT,JTdd?
I'm too tired to use Equilab and calculator right now

I would call OTT. I don´t think we can fold set there. Probably fold to huge bet OTR (more than 3/4 of the pot).

Originally posted by la55i
Do you always open 2.5bb from UTG?

Yes, I'm opening 2,5x from all positions except SB (3x) and BTN (2x).

I dont' see anything wrong with the OR size. OTF maybe you can bet a bit bigger since a few turn cards can be awful like a :Qx:, or a .

OTT, against a range composed of TT,77,K9s+, J8s, QJs, QdTd, JdTd, KTo-K9o, QJo, J8o we are in a coin flip situation according to Equilab. So I think we can jam turn here, and if you are losing against some straights you still have some decent equity to win.

I won't fold turn here. We can call and see a river or we can jam. It is a personal decision if you like variation.

A bigger flop bet is a must. Pot sized or even bigger would be fine. Any gutshot should correctly call that flop bet. You want them to call, but incorrectly.