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99 river question

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x3ndeDx
Joined: 22.08.2012

PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 101 BB (VPIP: 12.50, PFR: 6.25, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 16)
SB: 198 BB (VPIP: 52.63, PFR: 36.84, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 19)
BB: 92 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)
UTG: 46 BB
MP: 104 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)
Hero (CO): 107 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9♥ 9♠

fold, MP raises to 3 BB, Hero calls 3 BB, fold, SB raises to 6 BB, fold, MP calls 3 BB, Hero calls 3 BB

Flop: (19 BB, 3 players) K♦ 6♣ 5♥
SB checks, MP checks, Hero checks

Turn: (19 BB, 3 players) 9♣
SB checks, MP bets 11 BB, Hero raises to 32 BB, fold, MP calls 21 BB

River: (83 BB, 2 players) J♣
MP checks, Hero checks

Spoiler

Hero wins 80 BB

What range do you think villains have? Would you shove that river?


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6 replies
Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I’m not too worried about a flush on the river and if he have it it’s too bad for us, but I would shove the river for sure for value. There is a decent change he will call with 2 pair and weaker sets here.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I think betting river should be fine.


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Mozzek
Joined: 16.07.2016

I´m also betting the river.


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piR
piR
Joined: 31.08.2008

You can definitively bet this river for value. He has all Kx in this range, lot of 2P and some lower set.


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Dadramel
Joined: 10.08.2014

What abou' the flop, it looks safe to bet


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

I'd not bet because few hands I beat can call. There's not a single reasonable two-pair hand I can see there. I give him 2 combos of slowplayed 55/66, and that is counting high. But I also give him a slowplayed 87s.

But there are flushes, the worse he is, the more of those. So it is against 1 combo net we would be betting for value and potentially several that beat us. There is no river bet here.


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