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DecMate
Joined: 25.01.2009

PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): $13.14
SB: $22.27 (VPIP: 27.16, PFR: 23.32, 3Bet Preflop: 9.24, Hands: 323)
BB: $10.41 (VPIP: 34.44, PFR: 28.89, 3Bet Preflop: 11.43, Hands: 92)
UTG: $13.58 (VPIP: 19.91, PFR: 15.15, 3Bet Preflop: 6.59, Hands: 235)
CO: $10.00 (VPIP: 21.65, PFR: 13.40, 3Bet Preflop: 6.90, Hands: 302)

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has 8♣ 8♠

fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.25, SB raises to $0.80, fold, Hero calls $0.55

Flop: ($1.70, 2 players) 5♦ 6♠ 9♠
SB checks, Hero bets $0.81, SB raises to $2.50, fold

SB wins $3.17

I really wanted to ship this flop. We hold 2 blockers to the straight and i bet he'll fold an overpair (which is what i put him on).
Tell me reasons why i shouldn't do this and be thinking this please:f_cool:


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4 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Because I'm not sure if he will be check raising overpairs. If you shove here you will have some fold equity of course but how many times he will call you with a set?


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Overpairs and sets are possible. Combo draws too... I do not like to stack off.


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antLrace
Joined: 13.03.2015

im not sure X Flop is good idea here, as played fold is ok. Sb could have some FDs but after X/R you could be a lot behind vs his range

what do you think about his range OTF after X/R, maybe something like this? does he 3b 99-55-66 pre? 300 hands is not much but do you have some more specific infos? also post flop

http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: 5d6s9s
Equity Win Tie
MP2 32.51% 32.15% 0.36% { 8s8c }
MP3 67.49% 67.13% 0.36% { 99, 55, AdAh, AdAs, KdKh, KdKs, 65s, AsKs, Ts8s, Ts7s, As5s, As2s }


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Dadramel
Joined: 10.08.2014

His perceived range woulda bet on the flop I guess but since your only outs are 77 88 (15%) it makes the decision this much easier


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