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ICM murder?

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pokerboy198229
Joined: 20.08.2011

Do i have to fold because of ICM?

888 Poker - 300/600 Ante 60 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 3 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 1.85 BB (VPIP: 16.00, PFR: 2.17, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 51)
Hero (SB): 7.47 BB
BB: 15.68 BB (VPIP: 31.25, PFR: 21.28, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 51)

3 players post ante of 0.1 BB, Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.8 BB) Hero has Q♥ K♥

fold, Hero raises to 7.37 BB and is all-in, BB calls 6.37 BB

Flop: (15.03 BB, 2 players) 3♣ 8♦ 8♠

Turn: (15.03 BB, 2 players) Q♦

River: (15.03 BB, 2 players) 2♦

Hero shows Q♥ K♥ (Two Pair, Queens and Eights)
(Pre 29%, Flop 12%, Turn 73%)
BB shows A♦ K♦ (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 71%, Flop 88%, Turn 27%)
BB wins 15.03 BB


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3 replies
Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Hi pokerboy198229,
Here is a free tool that will help answer these questions:
http://www.holdemresources.net/nashicm

Here is what it says about your situation:
http://www.holdemresources.net/nashicm?action=calculate&s1=1110&s2=4482&s3=9408&p1=60&p2=40&p3=0&sb=300&bb=600&ante=60

So you were quite within your ideal pushing range -- unfortunately BB was quite within his calling range.

I was a bit surprised at this actually -- BTN is just about to go through the blinds, which will leave him crippled (unless he gets a hand).

I'm interested in what others have to say about this.

Peace,
VS


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pokerboy198229
Joined: 20.08.2011

Thanks a lot, im gone check it out


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Even on the bubble of a 6 man SNG I would shove KQs in a spot like this.
Even with a crippled BTN. I expect you have still a lot of fold equity, but it’s unlucky he has a big hand this time.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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