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AKo: TPTK against c/r Flop

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MrStrange
Joined: 09.09.2010

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (7 handed)

MP1 ($3.90)
MP2 ($2.88)
Hero (CO) ($2.14)
Button ($1.67)
SB ($2.92)
BB ($1.99)
UTG ($1.85)

Preflop: Hero is CO with K, A
2 folds, MP2 raises to $0.06, Hero raises to $0.18, 3 folds, MP2 calls $0.12

Flop: ($0.39) K, Q, J (2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets $0.28, MP2 raises to $0.91, Hero calls $0.63

Turn: ($2.21) 6 (2 players)
MP2 bets $1.79 (All-In), Hero calls $1.05 (All-In)

River: ($4.31) 3 (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: $4.31 | Rake: $0.15

I give him the below range for his Flop c/r:


Board: K♠Q♣J♣
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    30.59%  25.29%   5.31% { AhKd }
MP3    69.41%  64.10%   5.31% { QQ-JJ, TsTc, AKs, AsTs, AcTc, AcQd, AcQs }

I added 2 ATs combinations as not so likely to call with ATs preflop OOP as well as 2 AQ combinations with the A♣: giving him a mid pair+gutter+BDFD and one TT combination as he might be playing OESD like this sometimes. With this range, the call+calldown is slightly +EV.

Do you agree with the ranges? Is there a different way to play the flop?


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2 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Welll I guess that range looks reasonable. Only problem is that if he is slightly tighter and not raising those 2 combos of AQo it makes a huge difference in your equity.

But without any info on villain, as player I think it is ok. Although we could think that the population check raises with a bit too value heavy range especially on 3bet pots and then make a tight fold.

One option would be to check the flop or at least bet smaller. I would go with 1/3 - 1/2 pot bet.


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nsavov
Joined: 24.09.2010

Its safe to just remove AQ. Just fold flop. :f_thumbsup:


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