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EARLY GAME - should fold & raise

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Hey,

In the stt early game with villain in mp1 was playing like a maniac and with AT I decided to isolate him. I understand I'd a good equity versus his range, but, I've a doubt regarding if this move if this good or not in early game. I raised to not concede good odds for BB call.

Equity Win Tie
MP2 57.24% 53.88% 3.37% AhTh
MP3 42.76% 39.39% 3.37% 22+, A2s+, K8s+, Q9s+, JTs, 98s, 87s, 76s, A2o+, KTo+, QJo, JTo

Chip expected value of your call (cEV) = 1340*57,24% - 655 = 112 CEV

Monetary expected value of your stack after a call ($EV) = probability of winning the hand * monetary expected value of your stack after call & win + probability of losing the hand * monetary expected value of your stack after call & lose

57,24% * 16.4381 + 42,76% * 0 = 9,41

$EV of your stack after a fold = 11.7133 > $EV of your stack after a call = $9,41
$EV(Call) = -$2,30

Poker Stars, $0.44 Buy-in (15/30 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): 1,655 (55.2 bb)
BB: 2,010 (67 bb)
UTG+1: 1,675 (55.8 bb)
UTG+2: 1,325 (44.2 bb)
MP1: 655 (21.8 bb)
MP2: 1,350 (45 bb)
MP3: 1,605 (53.5 bb)
CO: 1,770 (59 bb)
BTN: 1,455 (48.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with T♠: A♠:
2 folds, MP1 raises to 655 and is all-in, 4 folds, Hero raises to 1,655 and is all-in, BB folds

Flop: (1,340) 3♠: 7♥: 3♥: (2 players, 2 are all-in)
Turn: (1,340) 6♥: (2 players, 2 are all-in)
River: (1,340) K♥: (2 players, 2 are all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

1,340 pot
Final Board: 3♠: 7♥: 3♥: 6♥: K♥:
Hero showed T♠: A♠: and lost (-655 net)
MP1 showed 5♣: A♥: and won 1,340 (685 net)

Mathematically it was OK, however, there is always the question about it.

Thanks for commenting, it helps me to better understand the concepts.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

It looks like you already did all the work and against a maniac isolation shoving is fine for sure.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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