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A7s on bubble

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villijmeen99
Joined: 04.11.2016

Question is just one - to shove here or not?
Button is an unknown but with good stats and wasn't playing bad either - VPIP 24.1, PFR 19.1, while the SB was a fish with stats VPIP 41.8, PFR 21.5. I was a little bit afraid because I had lately made some resteals vs BTN player and I have seen that good players after I have restealed on them a few times tend to use only allin shove vs me (which he was starting to do, but it could be also a chance only because he won a flip vs me and I became the shortstack) or trap me with monsters with minraising, hoping I will 3-bet allin. I was pretty sure that I am ahead of fishy players range because he liked to limp a lot and if he would have something really strong he could raise here, also he was folding a lot of hands vs resteals. Also limping showed some kind of weakness so I wasn't really afraid of him.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 1.5 Tournament, 80/160 Blinds 20 Ante (3 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from http://flopturnriver.com

SB (t3,703)
Hero (BB) (t1,551)
Button (t3,746)

Hero's M: 5.17

Preflop: Hero is BB with 7, A
Button raises to t360, SB calls t280, Hero raises to t1,531 (All-In), Button calls t1,171, 1 fold

Flop: (t3,482) 4, 2, 2 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Turn: (t3,482) A (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: (t3,482) 9 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: t3,482

Results below:

Spoiler

Button had 9, 9 (full house, nines over twos).
Hero had 7, A (two pair, Aces and twos).
Outcome: Button won t3,482


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As showed above you should fold A7s and just shove JJ+ and AKs.
RFI range of BU should be something 66+,A4s+,K8s+,Q9s+,J9s+,T9s,A9o+,KTo+,QTo+ [according stats] and equilab showed your hand was 45,51% underdog.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Against a good regular and a fish, I doubt you have to much fold equity ether and I would wait for a first in spot against them and hoping now the fishy player makes a mistake post-flop.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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