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bottom set IP; semi-wet board; facing turn-raise; Did I get overeager?

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ben002
Joined: 03.03.2018

Hi! :f_drink:

$0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players

Hero (CO): $9.54
BTN: $6.95
SB: $3.78
BB: $5.32 (VPIP: 14.05, PFR: 9.92, 3Bet Preflop: 1.92, Hands: 128)

SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.07) Hero has 4♦ 4♠

Hero raises to $0.15, fold, fold, BB calls $0.10

Flop: ($0.32, 2 players) 4♥ A♠ 9♠
BB checks, Hero bets $0.23, BB calls $0.23

Turn: ($0.78, 2 players) T♥
BB checks, Hero bets $0.56, BB raises to $1.60, Hero raises to $2.90, BB raises to $4.94 and is all-in, Hero calls $2.04

River: ($10.66, 2 players) K♣

I think I should just have called his raise OTT. I most likely don't get a lot of worse hands to call my re-raise. As he seems to be the rather nitty type he shouldn't have check raised a lot of draws here. Besides TT/99 (6 combos), which beats me, he might have raised ATs/A9s (5 combos) which I beat. But would he also defend against my re-raise with the latter? And would he have called preflop? Given he would, then I would still have less then 50% equity against his continuing range as I beat only 5 out of 11 combos (and I beat them with less equity then I lose against the rest). This might be a little different if we also give him some flush-draws, which I wouldn't.

As played, was calling his shove fine? I think he really has only TT/99 left in his range and I should have folded.

Would be good to read some of your thoughts.


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3 replies
DecMate
Joined: 25.01.2009

Well you'd think he'd raise 9's on the flop. Leaving the only real hand your losing too as 10's.
When he check raises i'd just ship over it, looks weaker/bluffier from you and he could call lighter in return. When it goes bet>raise>raise>raise NOW your in a tough spot.
It obviously does look like 10's, but this is NL5. I don't think you can feel bad about going broke here unless you know he's a 10/10 NIT. Wouldn't be too result orientated, and wouldn't beat yourself up too much, quite a cooler. (I assume he had 10's?..)


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MrQNo
Joined: 30.09.2006

Since this is NL5, i would expect not only Sets or 2Pairs but also AK, perhaps AQ c/r ott. So you have to go broke. But it will be a coinflip.


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pokerboy198229
Joined: 20.08.2011

Yep its time to go broke or to win an epic hand, we do not fold sets at 5NL because he could have 2 pair and TP...


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