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QJs OOP, check/raise on paired flop

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MatoStar
Joined: 22.07.2017

Hello guys.
I am back with another trouble hand.
OTF: think I could cbet OTF, but check is fine too imo. But his cbet was a quite big, but I dont see any reason for betting trips with such a big sizing. Decided to check/raise, cause I expect that he is stabbing a ton.

OTT: Hit a gutter and continue, because I want to make him fold his 55-88, weak FDs,4x hands.

OTR: Firstly I wanted to just check, but then was some voice in my head, that I have blocker on KQ,KJ and he has a lot of busted FDs and the button calling range is mainly from suited kings probably KJs-K8s + some sets (not that many combos), but still if he is able to fold his busted 9x and 7x FDs, then it should be profitable to bet here.

partypoker - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (CO): 113.7 BB
BTN: 220.1 BB (VPIP: 32.83, PFR: 17.76, 3Bet Preflop: 8.67, Hands: 954)
SB: 100 BB (VPIP: 26.68, PFR: 19.23, 3Bet Preflop: 10.43, Hands: 999)
BB: 50 BB (VPIP: 23.86, PFR: 16.43, 3Bet Preflop: 8.14, Hands: 920)
UTG: 120.5 BB (VPIP: 30.16, PFR: 18.82, 3Bet Preflop: 7.71, Hands: 1,063)
MP: 102.8 BB (VPIP: 23.59, PFR: 17.35, 3Bet Preflop: 5.06, Hands: 1,182)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J♠ Q♠

fold, fold, Hero raises to 2.5 BB, BTN calls 2.5 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (6.5 BB, 2 players) K♦ K♣ 4♣
Hero checks, BTN bets 6 BB, Hero raises to 16 BB, BTN calls 10 BB

Turn: (38.5 BB, 2 players) 9♠
Hero bets 24.4 BB, BTN calls 24.4 BB

River: (87.3 BB, 2 players) 7♥
Hero bets 70.8 BB and is all-in, BTN calls 70.8 BB

Spoiler

Hero shows J♠ Q♠ (One Pair, Kings)
(Pre 43%, Flop 0%, Turn 0%)
BTN shows K♠ 4♠ (Full House, Kings full of Fours)
(Pre 57%, Flop 100%, Turn 100%)
BTN wins 218.9 BB


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3 replies
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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Villain has a decent gap between VPIP and PFR. I expect he’s isn’t a great player. Most of the time I would just Cbet the flop.

If you are check/raising, you are trying to represent trips or a full house I think. The question is that you would do this. I expect you would smooth call trips or better most of the time and that makes it tough to represent a good hand. I expect you will do this with a flush draw or something than with a made hand. Now you need to think what as well he would bet almost pot size and would fold or call you raise and that makes it for me tough to 3barrel here, because he can easy have trips after his call on the flop and now you are hoping he has a missed flush draw or something.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

As a PFA I think you can attack this flop and make a cbet. I do not like the xr. What do you represent there?
When he calls the xr what is the point in continuing with aggression? He has a K and you cannot make him fold it...


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sdf256
Joined: 21.07.2016

I think check/raise OTF is fine. He might be overfolding.
After he calls, I shut down my aggression. OTF you have a hotspot where you should have an increased amount of FE, you took that and then after he calls its fine to just surrender. Your winrate is generated OTF.

Another viable option is cbet, which I think is fine too.


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