
Villain is 26/4 in 200 hands (fish)
Decided to call the 3bet pre IP. It's a 3bet from the BB to my MP raise, so a 4bet as a lot of FE? Better to just call?
However he is 25/4... but as a very high postflop agression and 3bets preflop a 5% range.
What do you think of the triple call here? Hopeless or I do beat something? The sizings are not very big, so I'm getting good prices and have position. Imo raise at any point won't value anything and will just make him fold his crap (which is not that much) and raise or call with better hands.
Readless I probably fold river. With reads this can be an easy call. You are getting 3:1 though. You can be wrong 3 times out of 4 and break even (roughly, of course).
My problem with this hand is that you do have reads with the stats that converge the quickest (VPIP/PFR). This guy has played 26% of hands dealt (200 * 26% = 52 hands) and has raised 2 of them. Judging that he 3b, using those stats, he is going to be MEGA tight here. I would expect him to check at least one street with QQ, JJ, TT here so that leaves mostly value. This spot with be underbluffed by this player type. You can certainly fold river. I am almost tempted to fold turn vs. this guy. You are drawing to 2 outs vs. his value range. Had the board not paired on the turn, 87s (6 outs) would be a better turn call than QQ (2 outs).
previous poster is right. i fold turn without feeling bad at all about it.
of course he can't be 3betting a 5% range having a 4% pfr, let's not forget to use our common sense to interpret stats...
Weird flop bet lol.
In game I tend to be curious when I face stupid sizes like that so I'd probably calldown all along hoping to face JJ- but I may be optimistic. The river bet is quite big and that's the more honest street generally speaking.