Hi,
one hand from 4.40$ tournament. So I raise a bit looser from UTG with 55, but it was 7 handed. Flop, doesn't hits me, so it goes check-check and it definitely hits BB more than me with UTG range. On the turn I hit set. But there is a possibility of straight or flush. I bet, got call. River A might be good to get some value even though I have more Aces in my range. But after my bet I receive all-in raise. I need to call just 16bb to pot of 56. Needs like 30%, so it feels ok. Tried it in equilab as well and it says I have like 66% againts his range which I think might be something like this - all flashes shavs on river, all two pair hands and some tens - 88, 66, A8s, A5s, KTs, QTs, 86s+, KhQh, KhJh, QhJh, Ah9h, Kh9h, Qh9h, Jh9h, Ah7h, Kh7h, Qh7h, Jh7h, Th7h, 9h7h, Ah6h, Kh6h, Qh6h, Jh6h, Th6h, 9h6h, Ah4h, Kh4h, Ah3h, Kh3h, Ah2h, Kh2h, AJo-ATo, A8o, A6o, KTo, QTo, JTo, 97o. So even if his shav on river would be much tighter than I think it should be profitable to call. What do you think about it?
PokerStars - 100/200 Ante 20 NL - Holdem - 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
MP: 44.52 BB (VPIP: 40.74, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 27)
CO: 34.66 BB (VPIP: 20.18, PFR: 16.36, 3Bet Preflop: 7.32, Hands: 114)
BTN: 15.99 BB (VPIP: 13.64, PFR: 4.76, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 22)
SB: 27.58 BB (VPIP: 11.54, PFR: 8.00, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 26)
BB: 27.65 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 14.81, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 27)
Hero (UTG): 33.7 BB
UTG+1: 33.08 BB (VPIP: 25.93, PFR: 3.85, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 27)
7 players post ante of 0.1 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 2.2 BB) Hero has 5♦ 5♣
Hero raises to 2.25 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls 1.25 BB
Flop: (5.7 BB, 2 players) 6♠ T♥ 8♥
BB checks, Hero checks
Turn: (5.7 BB, 2 players) 5♥
BB checks, Hero bets 3.5 BB, BB calls 3.5 BB
River: (12.7 BB, 2 players) A♦
BB checks, Hero bets 5 BB, BB raises to 21.8 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 16.8 BB
Spoiler
BB shows 2♥ A♥ (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 34%, Flop 48%, Turn 77%)
Hero shows 5♦ 5♣ (Three of a Kind, Fives)
(Pre 66%, Flop 52%, Turn 23%)
BB wins 56.3 BB