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Is this a profitable play?

6 Posts
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KrissRR
Joined: 22.12.2018

PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BB): $7.67
UTG: $3.57 (VPIP: 21.43, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 28)
MP: $5.00 (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 5.56, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 18)
CO: $5.01 (VPIP: 35.48, PFR: 16.13, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 33)
BTN: $10.50 (VPIP: 17.39, PFR: 17.39, 3Bet Preflop: 12.50, Hands: 24)
SB: $5.14 (VPIP: 21.05, PFR: 5.26, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 81)

SB posts SB $0.02, Hero posts BB $0.05

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.07) Hero has 8♠ 5♠

fold, MP raises to $0.15, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.10

Flop: ($0.32, 2 players) 4♥ Q♣ 6♠
Hero checks, MP bets $0.20, Hero calls $0.20

Turn: ($0.72, 2 players) 4♠
Hero checks, MP bets $0.50, Hero raises to $1.50, MP calls $1.00

River: ($3.72, 2 players) 6♥
Hero bets $5.82 and is all-in, MP calls $3.15 and is all-in

Hero shows 8♠ 5♠ (Two Pair, Sixes and Fours)
(Pre 43%, Flop 42%, Turn 23%)
MP shows 4♦ A♦ (Full House, Fours full of Sixes)
(Pre 57%, Flop 58%, Turn 77%)
MP wins $9.60


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5 replies
Talisker74
Joined: 17.08.2009

What are your thoughts and questions to that hand?
Fold on the Flop
Fold on the Turn
Fold on the River


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MyFloXyBabY
Joined: 15.02.2010

And fold preflop of course. You've forgotten. Against a 3x open from MP at NL5 come on.
As played I wouldn't mind a check/raise on that flop though.


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zetozinho
Joined: 18.06.2017

85's is the very very bottom to call this pre. I fold this.
Yup, good board for your check-raising range OTF.
From that point, I diagnose you the FPS syndrome.


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Mozzek
Joined: 16.07.2016

I would say 85s is too wide preflop. OTF I prefer def xr, really good hand to do this with, bunch of cards you can continue on. Turn is fine imo, but you shouldn´t shove this R, ppl will station on this runout too much imo.


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AthleticAZ
Joined: 19.09.2009

Preflop: Better to fold. I think 86s might be a defend, but still marginal.

Flop: Gutter + BDFD is better to call, but might also x/r. Folding is out of question. I personally lean towards x/c, because we don't have too many nuts here. 44 and 66 make 6 combos of sets. We could x/r those (call is good as well) and as bluffs use 75s (4 combos). If we add 85s, it's not that bad, we'd have 8 combos of bluffs then.

Turn: I'd probably play the same vs aggressive opponent. It's hard to call vs this sizing vs passive or unknown, we don't get a good price with 29%:


Board: 4♥6♠Q♣ 4♠
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    20.78%  20.78%   0.00% { 8s5s }
BB     79.22%  79.22%   0.00% { QQ+, 66, AQs, KQs, AQo, KQo }

River: is a spew. Not sure what better hands you are trying to fold out.


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