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[Closed] $2 cap river decision with 1/4 potsize left

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Kruppe
Joined: 20.02.2008

Full Tilt Poker
$1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game
$60 Betting Cap
6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

CO: $178.50
BTN: $113
Kruppe (SB): $203
BB: $154.40
UTG: $454.40
MP: $114.20

Pre-Flop: K♥ K♦ dealt to Kruppe (SB)
UTG folds
MP folds
CO folds
BTN folds
Kruppe raises to $6
BB calls $4

Flop: ($12) 6♦ 9♥ J♥ (2 Players)
Kruppe bets $10
BB calls $10

Turn: ($32) Q♦ (2 Players)
Kruppe bets $24
BB calls $24

River: ($80) A♠ (2 Players)
Kruppe ???


9 replies
cindy1985
Joined: 13.11.2007

Why don't you ship it on the turn? Small overbet, and I doubt he will let his FD/TP go there...

As played, I guess c/c is nice if he is likely to bet his busted FD: I don't see him folding any A... and I don't see him calling with a J or a Q. I don't see you folding either, he only has to be bluffing 1/6th of the time for this to be profitable.


veriz
Joined: 20.07.2008

Hello,

If the bet isn't that big then I am playing Check/Call, if he fires a bigger bet then I might fold.

Best regards,
Rensu


BogdanDin7
Joined: 29.04.2008

I`m check/calling ~1/2 pot and check/folding to bigger bets unless I know he tries to take the pot there with busted draws often , case in witch I might call a bigger be , up to 3/4 maybe.


Yoghi
Joined: 10.09.2007

So he can bet 20 maximum? I would never fold there.


TwiceT
Joined: 15.07.2007

check would be a negative freeroll since he will check back any 1 pair hand like QT and almost never (not 1 in 6 times) bluff his busted fd because even a donkey might recognize, that after we raise pre and bet 2 streets hard post we won't ever fold to 20$ when the pot then is 100$ and getting 5:1.

just stick in the last 20$ and you sometimes get a call by KJ, KQ, QT, TJ, TT that just wanna see a sd due to the nice pot odds. u just need 16.5% eq for that river push which u certainly have.


TribunCaesar
Joined: 29.04.2007

I have no idea how this cap thing works. But if I understood correctly we can bet 20 at max and he can't raise? If so, betting is best.

Best regards,
TribunCaesar


TwiceT
Joined: 15.07.2007

Originally posted by TribunCaesar
I have no idea how this cap thing works.

caught tha fish


TribunCaesar
Joined: 29.04.2007

Originally posted by TwiceT

Originally posted by TribunCaesar
I have no idea how this cap thing works.

caught tha fish

[x] caught the weird poker games player


Kruppe
Joined: 20.02.2008

hehe, fish ^^

yes, i agree that push is way better than C/C, for the reasons mentioned above, + because FD and other draws would often play differently on flop or turn + there are hardly any busted draws that don't have SD value.

i was actually trying to decide between push and C/F, but if what twicet says is true then i guess it's an easy push. at the time i didn't realise that i only needed ~16.5%. i think villain will often play KQ, QT, Q8 this way. How often will bad players call Jx here after having top pair on the flop?

Originally posted by cindy1985
Why don't you ship it on the turn? Small overbet, and I doubt he will let his FD/TP go there...

As played, I guess c/c is nice if he is likely to bet his busted FD: I don't see him folding any A... and I don't see him calling with a J or a Q. I don't see you folding either, he only has to be bluffing 1/6th of the time for this to be profitable.

I hardly ever overbet, although i don't actually know whether it's always a bad thing to do. In capNL you obviously often encounter situations where you could cap with a small-ish overbet. Can I have some other opinions on this kind of situation?
I would be betting $44 into $32. I think villain usually folds normal draws to a bet like that.