partypoker - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (BTN): 100 BB
SB: 36.8 BB (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)
BB: 122.2 BB (VPIP: 43.75, PFR: 37.50, 3Bet Preflop: 16.67, Hands: 16)
UTG: 115.8 BB (VPIP: 18.75, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 34)
MP: 243.4 BB (VPIP: 19.21, PFR: 13.56, 3Bet Preflop: 5.33, Hands: 183)
CO: 158 BB (VPIP: 13.21, PFR: 2.70, 3Bet Preflop: 1.48, Hands: 380)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q♠ A♥
fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 2.5 BB, fold, BB raises to 4 BB, Hero calls 1.5 BB
Flop: (8.5 BB, 2 players) 8♦ 9♣ 2♦
BB bets 6 BB, Hero calls 6 BB
Turn: (20.5 BB, 2 players) 3♥
BB bets 14.6 BB, Hero calls 14.6 BB
River: (49.7 BB, 2 players) Q♥
BB bets 30.7 BB, Hero calls 30.7 BB
Spoiler
BB shows 8♠ 6♠ (One Pair, Eights)
(Pre 40%, Flop 76%, Turn 86%)
Hero shows Q♠ A♥ (One Pair, Queens)
(Pre 60%, Flop 24%, Turn 14%)
Hero wins 105.6 BB
On the flop I am thinking he c-bets here with flush draws, JTo, middle pairs, AK. I call in order to float his middle pairs and AK, and bluff the river in case the draws miss. I think that he raises more preflop with overpairs (TT-AA)
On the turn I am still convinced he has either a flush or straight draw, I think middle pairs and AK give up and do not cbet.
On the river the bet sizing is wrong for a straight - I think he would either bet small or overbet for value. So my read here is a busted flush draw.
Do I have enough fold equity to get to the river or should I be folding the turn?
Should I fold the river?