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TJo straight on the river on a TKQ flop.

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shooshte
Joined: 23.08.2018

partypoker - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 260.3 BB (VPIP: 12.50, PFR: 9.90, 3Bet Preflop: 8.70, Hands: 201)
SB: 99 BB (VPIP: 21.79, PFR: 11.54, 3Bet Preflop: 3.57, Hands: 81)
Hero (BB): 265 BB
UTG: 104.2 BB (VPIP: 22.40, PFR: 13.11, 3Bet Preflop: 3.85, Hands: 184)
MP: 110.2 BB (VPIP: 13.95, PFR: 2.60, 3Bet Preflop: 1.28, Hands: 434)
CO: 105.3 BB (VPIP: 25.88, PFR: 23.25, 3Bet Preflop: 17.54, Hands: 468)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T♥ J♦

Calling because we only have to call 1.2BB to see the flop.

fold, fold, CO raises to 2.2 BB, fold, SB calls 1.7 BB, Hero calls 1.2 BB

Flop: (6.6 BB, 3 players) T♣ K♦ Q♦
SB checks, Hero checks, CO bets 4.1 BB, SB calls 4.1 BB, Hero calls 4.1 BB

Calling because of implied pot odds, hoping to hit a straight. We also have some showdown value vs flush draws.

Turn: (18.9 BB, 3 players) 3♠
SB checks, Hero checks, CO bets 13.8 BB, fold, Hero calls 13.8 BB

I think this is where the hand goes bad. Should I just fold OTT since SB folds? Or are my pot odds good enough?

River: (46.5 BB, 2 players) 9♥
Hero checks, CO bets 41.4 BB, Hero raises to 244.9 BB and is all-in, CO calls 43.8 BB and is all-in

We make our straight, and the villain makes a very big river bet. Does he just have AJ here every time and I should be folding? If it's that obvious should I just be folding OTT?

Spoiler

CO shows A♣ J♠ (Straight, Ace High)
(Pre 71%, Flop 87%, Turn 97%)
Hero shows T♥ J♦ (Straight, King High)
(Pre 29%, Flop 13%, Turn 3%)
Hero wins 159.7 BB
CO wins 206.9 BB


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5 replies
zetozinho
Joined: 18.06.2017

You could fold OTT indeed.
I'm not sure if a shove OTR is the best move. I don't know what you want him to call with. Could be a split and in that case you're just losing due to rake. This is just a cooler and a monster reverse implied odds situation for you once he has the nuts OTF already.


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MyFloXyBabY
Joined: 15.02.2010

Yeah just call OTR I guess.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I would also fold OTT. Didn't calculate it but I believe you don't have the direct odds. If you hit your straight, villain could slow down and your hand could be quite obvious because any J would make a straight. There are also some reverse implieds as villain could hit a flush or a higher straight.

OTR I guess villain could 3barrel and call a raise with enough sets and 2pair hands to make this a not bad move, but I think I would still slightly prefer just calling.


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

On the flop he's leading in to 3 players and I doubt you beat much with 6 clean outs for a straight.
Turn seems like a easy fold for sure.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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vengeance77
Joined: 18.04.2010

:appl:


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