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[PLO5] A-High Flush on Turn, paired board, all-in

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aipekuvs
Joined: 25.05.2019

Hi,

I would like to improve my play so here is the hand I would like to hear your opinion on:

Hero (BTN): 244.2 BB
SB: 100.2 BB
BB: 101.6 BB
UTG: 175.8 BB
MP: 102.4 BB
CO: 102.2 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has A♥ 4♥ K♣ 5♣

UTG calls 1 BB, MP calls 1 BB, fold, Hero raises to 5.4 BB, fold, fold, fold, MP calls 4.4 BB

Flop: (13.2 BB, 2 players) 3♠ 3♥ Q♥
MP checks, Hero bets 6.4 BB, MP calls 6.4 BB

Turn: (26 BB, 2 players) 7♥
MP checks, Hero bets 19 BB, MP raises to 44.2 BB, Hero raises to 151.8 BB, MP calls 46.4 BB and is all-in

River: (207.2 BB, 2 players) J♥

Spoiler

MP shows J♠ 6♣ Q♠ Q♦ (Full House, Queens full of Threes)
(Pre 47%, Flop 99.9%, Turn 100%)
Hero shows A♥ 4♥ K♣ 5♣ (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 53%, Flop 0.1%, Turn 0%)
MP wins 199.2 BB

I put in a online equity tool that he has a range of: QQ, 77, A2+ and it showed me that I have 61% equity on Turn thats why I re-raised all-in:

600,000 trials (Randomized)
board: 3♠3♥Q♥7♥
Hand |Pot equity |Wins |Ties
QQ, 77, A2+|38.62% |231,702|0
Ah4hk5|61.38% |368,298|0

Is that hand rage I entered OK or "wrong"?
What hand range would you have entered in Equilab to check on your equity?

Maybe my understanding of equity is a bit confused; my think was that with 61% of equity in the long run I would win 61% of the pot which means to go all-in there is a profitable spot - is that correct or am I wrong here? :)

Thanks for your time!


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3 replies
Mascherano95
Joined: 09.10.2010

well, this hand is misplayed I would say.

Basically it is good to cbet this flop with a high frequency because it is hard to hit something for villain (on paired boards). But the bare Nutflushdraw I would check behind because you can realize your equity and the nutflush is worth playin 1 or 2 streets if you hit it. U have the narrow villains range once he calls and the question is, if he would check-call twice turn and river with a lower flush, because thats the hands you beat and might pay you off. If you think you will get 1 bet only against tight regulars (which he he probaly isnt), it makes sense again to check-check-bet and try to get value otr, because with the board being already paired you are not afraid to give freecard ott. Once he check-raises the turn (even if it is just a minraise) he will not likely do that with a flush, so he is reppin a fullhouse (likely the Q6xx from the flop check-call, but also the slowplayed QQxx is possible, with bare trips+oc he is more likely to call and draw to a full) which he has more often than some bluff as he limped pre and seems to be a weak passive player. With the bet-call being already very sophisticated, your reraise does not make any sense and is a big error.


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Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

I pretty much agree with Mascherano95.
I think that everything is find up to the re-raise on the river.

River re-raises are for nutted hands.
I think that the turn bet is fine, but both there, and OTR it has to be bet-fold, or at the very most bet-call.

I think bet-call might be appropriate if your hand can improve, but yours can't. It's a flush and that's it.

All the best,
VS


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aipekuvs
Joined: 25.05.2019

Thanks for your answers!

I can see that it was a big missplay now :)


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