Villain’s strong Turn Raise is clearly telling me that he has a flush. PokerTracker states that I have a 16% chance of winning and a 30% call odds. I knew that the odds were not attractive. But, the implied odds intrigued me. If the River is a Spade, I know Villain will bet and I will raise to win a big hand. At the River, I did not Raise All In because I feared that Villain would fold. I am not sure if I misplayed this hand. However, I am sure that it is sometimes better to be lucky than to be smart.
Ignition - $0.25 NL - Holdem - 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (UTG+1): 97.2 BB
MP: 123.36 BB (VPIP: 15.00, PFR: 5.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 21)
CO: 7.8 BB (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 5.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 21)
BTN: 212.56 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 21)
SB: 40.36 BB (VPIP: 75.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
BB: 144.48 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 9.52, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 21)
UTG: 51.24 BB (VPIP: 28.57, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 21)
SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Q♣ A♠
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) BB has 7♠ 2♠
UTG raises to 3 BB, Hero calls 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, SB calls 2.6 BB, BB calls 2 BB
Flop: (12 BB, 4 players) 4♠ 8♥ K♠
SB checks, BB checks, UTG checks, Hero checks
Turn: (12 BB, 4 players) 9♠
SB checks, BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets 8.56 BB, fold, BB raises to 29.96 BB, fold, Hero calls 21.4 BB
River: (71.92 BB, 2 players) T♠
BB bets 27.2 BB, Hero raises to 59.4 BB, BB calls 32.2 BB
BB shows 7♠ 2♠ (Flush, King High)
(Pre 35%, Flop 48%, Turn 84%)
Hero wins 182.72 BB