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When to take a stab on the turn in 3Bet Pot (BTN vs BB)

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vaca22
Joined: 24.11.2008

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $29.82 (119.3 bb)
BB: $13.98 (55.9 bb)
UTG: $25.91 (103.6 bb)
MP: $17.56 (70.2 bb)
CO: $58.28 (233.1 bb)
Hero (BTN): $26.43 (105.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 2♣: A♣:
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.50, SB folds, BB raises to $2, Hero calls $1.50

Flop: ($4.10) 5♥: 8♦: Q♠: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($4.10) Q♣: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: ($4.10) 9♥: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2.32, BB calls $2.32

Results: $8.74 pot ($0.50 rake)
Final Board: 5♥: 8♦: Q♠: Q♣: 9♥:
BB showed A♥: K♦: and won $8.24 ($3.92 net)
Hero showed 2♣: A♣: and lost (-$4.32 net)

Villain was 30/21 no big sample. Not much info on his 3betting strategy. But he is shortstack so he will be weaker.
My question is when to stab on the turn? Should I just always bet after he checks twice? I assume he will have plenty of AK, AJ, AT...Ax in general, mainly suited. He could have some TT, JJ, A8, 89,78, A5, 56 types of hands that he just want to get to showdown. But I reckon he would bet TT and JJ OTT at least at some frequency.
Should I just bet 100% of my range here? If so what sizing should I use? And if I get called do in what cases do I continue bluffing on the river?
I need fold equity here and he is a fish which complicates things How would you differ the strategy here vs reg and vs fish?


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2 replies
Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

i'd just take this to showdown (but expect to lose a decent amount).
with the hands that want to stab, i am inclined to rep polar (Qx) most of the time and use a big sizing on the turn and river, maybe use a medium size on the turn and giveup river sometimes. it's difficult to bet river after two checks (9x is possible but that's it), villain's call with AK seems pretty standard as played.


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zetozinho
Joined: 18.06.2017

You represent nothing with a check-check-bet line. So if you bet the river it has to be a massive overbet (200% or even more). The problem is that villain has a 55bb stack, so SPR is lower, which is not great to bluff. Villain doesn't rep much too, but his "nut-air" type of hands, like the A high, K high will have your air dominated.
I would prefer to bet JT, J9, T9, 76s OTT because they have less showdown value and you can barrel some rivers.
When the aggressor checks twice in a 3bet pot he will usually be more capped than not, so you can punish him a bit lighter.


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