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AA river decision

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Torcato
Joined: 17.02.2010

Note before reading: my stack is "refilled" to 100bbs only when I'm bellow 85
Villain is 13/9 nit in 500 hands.

PokerStars - €0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 134.7 BB
SB: 229.6 BB
BB: 99.4 BB
UTG: 114.2 BB
MP: 101.5 BB
Hero (CO): 91 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♠ A♥

UTG raises to 3.5 BB, fold, Hero raises to 11 BB, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls 7.5 BB

Flop: (23.5 BB, 2 players) 9♥ 9♠ K♥
UTG checks, Hero checks

Turn: (23.5 BB, 2 players) 6♣
UTG checks, Hero bets 12 BB, UTG calls 12 BB

River: (47.5 BB, 2 players) Q♦
UTG bets 91.2 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 68 BB and is all-in

Spoiler

UTG shows K♣ K♦ (Full House, Kings full of Nines)
(Pre 19%, Flop 91%, Turn 95%)
Hero shows A♠ A♥ (Two Pair, Aces and Nines)
(Pre 81%, Flop 9%, Turn 5%)
UTG wins 174.3 BB

Pf is standard.
Flop, I checked behind because I need to have some hands in my checking range ip in a 3bet pot, and this one is sometimes one of it, especially with the ace of hearts.
Turn, with a blank and another check from the nit I narrowed his range to TT+, AK and maybe (but unlikely) AQ and KQs, that's why I decided to go for 1/2 pot bet.
OTR I was like.. JT is impossible, it's KQ or AK.. or QQ of course!... 99 very unlikely and KK would probably stab that turn after my check ONF. I guess the villain is even "nitter" than I thought and he got me good. Anyways, it's worth the note :)

What do you think about it? Would you call it? What you'd have done different? Thanks!


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5 replies
Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

QQ makes the most sense, followed by KQ, i would also not discount JT hearts and 66 (not assuming he folds pre 100% of the time), and the 1 combo of 99 of course.
having A hearts is a little bit bad but it probably doesn't matter, i doubt he has overbet donk bluff range.

i understand the flop check, but nowadays i tend towards the "meta strategy" of betting small with our entire range in this flop (even with QQ), especially against this opponent that might call pre with many pocket pair kinda hands.

river can only be close because you beat KQ. given that there are only two KQs combos, you actually should probably fold.


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Moved the hand to the right board :f_wink:
Flop play could be work, but I would bet for value most of the time and for some protection as well. The rest seems standard untill the river. There aren't to many nits that over shoving as bluff.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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Really strong line from villain i don't expect AA or AK to be taking this line very often and 9x being vulnerable usually raises the flop or turn.So i expect to see mostly nutted type hands TJ and QQ are the most likely and make the most sense seen as KK 4bets a lot pre.Then KK and 99 are less likely or expected but not a huge surprise given how the hand played out.


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Torcato Topic starter
Torcato
Joined: 17.02.2010

:spade: Tomaloc - Thanks man. And yeah, given what you said I should probably have to fold there.

:spade: SDK1987 - Thank you!

:spade: RedsYNWA - Except for the 99 I can't see any other 9x hand on villain's range. He's playing 13/9 on 500+ hands. JT is very unlikely as well, it's hard to believe that such a nit opens JT from the UTG. KK was a surprise for me, but of course possible. Note on the man and let's move to the next. Cheers!


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zetozinho
Joined: 18.06.2017

Flop is a clear bet imo. I think you have better hands to check here, namely some weaker Kx (KJs, KTs, even KQo), QQ-99.
Turn ok.
You do beat KQ because you have AA and 99. Calling isn't terrible, but I'm sure there's not a single hand in villain's range that should play this way.
AA or KK are probably the only hands you can call this river shove with tbh.
You don't represent T9s, 98s with your line, those are mandatory flop bets.


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