PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BB: 89 BB
UTG: 105.2 BB
MP: 60.8 BB
CO: 100 BB
Hero (BTN): 164 BB
SB: 96.4 BB
SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Q♥ K♣
UTG calls 1 BB, fold, CO raises to 3.4 BB, Hero raises to 10 BB, fold, fold, fold, CO calls 6.6 BB
Flop: (22.4 BB, 2 players) 9♣ T♠ Q♣
CO checks, Hero bets 10.8 BB, CO calls 10.8 BB
Turn: (44 BB, 2 players) 2♣
CO checks, Hero bets 14 BB, CO calls 14 BB
River: (72 BB, 2 players) 8♣
CO bets 34.6 BB, Hero calls 34.6 BB
CO shows A♣ K♠ (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 75%, Flop 31%, Turn 32%)
Hero mucks Q♥ K♣ (Flush, King High)
(Pre 25%, Flop 69%, Turn 68%)
CO wins 135.4 BB
Preflop: I'm not sure but it's either 3bet/fold or call. Benefits of 3betting is taking down the pot right away but by flatting we invite the fish to play.
As played..
Flop: Giving villain pessimistic range calling range OTF of: 99-JJ, AK, AQ, KQs makes us getting called/raised by 6 combos of sets, 8 combos of AQ & 6 combos of 2nd pairs & 12 combos of AK. (we split with KQs obviously).
Due to our lack of equity/very close spot I think we can check back and call a turn bet, except on an Ace and even make a tight fold here.
As played..
Turn: Turn is a blank because villain can't have any flushes here, unless he calls AJs PF, but it's only 1 combo.
I'd like a check here for the same reasons OTF, we won't get called by worse but we have SDV + equity with our FD. So easy check back.
River:
As played he obviously has something and when donking on the 4 card flush it's very likely he has the ace of clubs, simply because he would need to turn a pair into a bluff and I don't see that happening often at all.
So even though we have the 2nd nut flush and only need to be good 25% of the time we should fold. Because we don't beat any value nor does he bluff enough (in general)
Conclusion:
PF: Flat to invite fish.
Flop: 6 sets, 8 AQ, 12 AK, 6 JJ. We have 50.5% equity vs this range. But considering that he might 4bet AK I think a bet is very thin and would rather like a check back.
Turn: As played: Check back, we have sdv & won't get called by worse or fold better.
River: Very unlikely that villain turns a pair into a bluff or value bets a J high flush. So we should fold.