No stats on villain, no HUD, no nothing.
Villain can 3bet light, hence the defend.
I have one question only. Can we valuebet the river? If so, what sizing and against what?
I've been thinking about 30% pot to get value from QQ, JJ, AT etc but then I wonder why he'd double barrel that. As played I did not know he double barrels QQ which I find awful.
Seems ok.
OTT against a 1/2 bet it's ok to call, but I don't think you should call a triple barrel.
I don't think you should get worse hands to call OTR too. I would value bet KT, AK, KQ.
KJ, K9 call.
Yes the double barrel with QQ is terrible.
Put stacks in man...
By the river it looks like you hold either TP or a missed draw. If you bet small, you are telling the villain that you hold TP. If you ob jam, you are telling the villain that you have a missed draw and are trying to steal the pot.
That’s level three poker. To play at level three you need to follow your perceived range in the same way that you follow the villains range.
Originally posted by yadijavadi
Put stacks in man...By the river it looks like you hold either TP or a missed draw. If you bet small, you are telling the villain that you hold TP. If you ob jam, you are telling the villain that you have a missed draw and are trying to steal the pot.
That’s level three poker. To play at level three you need to follow your perceived range in the same way that you follow the villains range.
Put stacks in? Lolz. What's villain's callingsrange when we stack?
Our perceived range is heavy with missed draws so all his value hands could potentially call. QQ, JJ, TJ, TA.
I can see him making this same play with KQ/KJ SOMETIMES, which will hurt our profits. He may even make this play with AK but we expect him to barrel that almost all the time.
FWIW, the reason he barrelled the turn was to charge the masses of draws. He’s probably planning on calling our river bet.
