Profitable Hole Cards in Cash Game.

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Last Post by VorpalF2F 6 years ago

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NextLevel

Joined: 03.11.2019

Posts: 66

19.04.2020, 02:42 0

Here is the link : https://www.tournamentterminator.com/tournament-strategy/poker-mathematics/profitable-hole-cards-%E2%80%93-winning-starting-hands/

This is the analysis of over 120 million starting hands on some poker website. Cash game.
The result have showed that really only 40 out of 169 poker starting hand are profitable.
These hands are : AA, KK, QQ, JJ and AKs : TT, 99, AQs, AJs, ATs, AK, AQ, KQs, KJs : 88, 77, A9s, A8s, AJ, AT, KTs, K9s, KQ, QJs, QTs, JTs : 66, 55, A7S-A3s, K8S, KJ, KT, Q9s, QJ, J9s, T9s.

I am not quite sure what to think anymore. If i understand right, that means that only these hands are profitable and all other are just not worth to play. Thats fked up, dont you think ?
So wtf. Does that mean that when we play more hands then these, then we lose with all the other hands and make profit with only hands mentioned. And the profit comes when the money we make with these profitable hands, cover up all the losses with all the other hands. Thats so fked up.

I really lost after this. Does this mean that you should start play only these hands and become nit. Is it even possible to make profit in long run being sooo tight ?
What you all think of that ?

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VorpalF2F

Super Moderator

Joined: 02.09.2010

Posts: 45,056

19.04.2020, 05:55 0

I don't think that just looking at raw pre-flop equity tells the whole story.
Let's look at a couple of things:
:diamond: This aggregates all positions. Over all positions 40/169 hands is about 24% This seems reasonable, if we open much less UTG and much wider on BU
Looking just at as-dealt hand strength Is very basic thinking -- we want to go to the NextLevel and think about our range strength and take into account our image at the table, and the table images of the people yet to act. For example, if you're on the button, and you know that both SB and BB fold 66% of hands to a button steal you can open nearly 50% on the button -- and auto-profit.
:diamond: I person with a very tight image can profitably steal much wider when (or if ever) they get to raise first in on the Button -- and can do so with a much wider range.
If you raise first in w/ 6♦:7♦: OTB and get folds would you suddenly stop making that play because it isn't profitable in the long run? (and I'll bet it is profitable)

Earlier this week in the new section there was an article about the Pareto Law https://www.pokerstrategy.com/news/world-of-poker/GTO-Poker-Theories:-The-Pareto-Principle_104149/
In that article it makes the point that 80% of our profit comes from 20% of our hands.
Fine, but you cant forgo the 20% of the profit you need to make on the other hands.

Cheers,
VS

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