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Call this river bet?

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Gianzzurri99
Joined: 13.02.2019

Hand from Ignition, 25NL 6max
Thoughts on this river spot? I feel like the villain can have all the full houses, flushes and even bet some good Ax on the river. Some of the offsuit Broadways with a :heart: would be reasonable bluffs.
When I put his perceived range in the equity calculator I got 26%, so I think I should be folding, but would love to hear your opinions.

Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD Poker HUD and Database Software

NL Holdem $0.25(BB)
CO ($24.65) [VPIP: 25% | PFR: 25% | AGG: 11.1% | Flop Agg: 25% | Turn Agg: 0% | River Agg: 0% | 3-Bet: 16.7% | 4-Bet: 0% | Hands: 12]
HERO ($25.23) [VPIP: 25.4% | PFR: 15.5% | AGG: 28.4% | Flop Agg: 30.1% | Turn Agg: 29.7% | River Agg: 22.5% | 3-Bet: 8.6% | Fold to 3-Bet: 52.2% | 4-Bet: 10.1% | Hands: 23067]
SB ($20.72) [VPIP: 47.1% | PFR: 17.6% | AGG: 31.4% | Flop Agg: 31.3% | Turn Agg: 36.4% | River Agg: 25% | 3-Bet: 6.7% | 4-Bet: 0% | Cold Call: 50% | Hands: 34]
BB ($49.97) [VPIP: 20.5% | PFR: 10.3% | AGG: 0% | Flop Agg: 0% | Turn Agg: 0% | River Agg: 0% | 3-Bet: 6.3% | 4-Bet: 0% | Hands: 39]
UTG ($78.83) [VPIP: 20% | PFR: 10% | AGG: 36.4% | Flop Agg: 20% | Turn Agg: 50% | River Agg: 50% | 3-Bet: 0% | 4-Bet: 0% | Hands: 31]
HJ ($25) [VPIP: 46.2% | PFR: 23.1% | AGG: 36.4% | Flop Agg: 33.3% | Turn Agg: 33.3% | River Agg: 50% | 3-Bet: 0% | 4-Bet: 0% | Hands: 13]

Dealt to Hero: J♦ J♠

UTG Folds, HJ Folds, CO Raises To $0.75, HERO Raises To $2.25, SB Calls $2.15, BB Folds, CO Calls $1.50

Hero SPR on Flop: [2.64 effective]
Flop ($7.00): 5♥ 8♥ A♥
SB Checks, CO Checks, HERO Checks

Turn ($7.00): 5♥ 8♥ A♥ 7♠
SB Bets $3.33 (Rem. Stack: 15.14), CO Folds, HERO Calls $3.33 (Rem. Stack: 19.65)

River ($13.66): 5♥ 8♥ A♥ 7♠ A♦
SB Bets $9.74 (Rem. Stack: 5.40), HERO Folds

Spoiler

SB wins: $12.98


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7 replies
Dr1fter808
Joined: 11.10.2017

Ignition huh? I play on Bovada sometimes when I'm in USA but I did not know that the hud works at that site, interesting.

It's basically an unknown player in the mix which is a real crap shoot, imo.

He might have QQ if not Ax.

TT you beat. KhQc might bluff river. That's about it.

I think river fold is good here.


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Gianzzurri99
Joined: 13.02.2019

Not all huds work on ignition unfortunately but this one does. Only keeps stats on the current session though 😒


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taavi1337
Joined: 29.05.2009

Sorry, why don't you bet the flop? Im new to NL Holdem, in FL Holdem it would be a must bet on the flop. Thanks


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Dr1fter808
Joined: 11.10.2017

Originally posted by taavi1337
Sorry, why don't you bet the flop? Im new to NL Holdem, in FL Holdem it would be a must bet on the flop. Thanks

Yeah, JJ without Heart is a bet and JJ with Heart is check.

Right?


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taavi1337
Joined: 29.05.2009

Originally posted by Dr1fter808

Originally posted by taavi1337
Sorry, why don't you bet the flop? Im new to NL Holdem, in FL Holdem it would be a must bet on the flop. Thanks

Yeah, JJ without Heart is a bet and JJ with Heart is check.

Right?

I would valuebet both on flop, as any heart might call us, especially with the fish from SB being in the hand.


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Dr1fter808
Joined: 11.10.2017

Originally posted by taavi1337
I would valuebet both on flop, as any heart might call us, especially with the fish from SB being in the hand.

Okay, I read the stats wrong. I thought the CO's stats were SB's.

That fact makes it more of a fold on river because fish does not understand domination and often calls the 3bet pre with any Ax.


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Dandiiik
Joined: 19.07.2009

On any other river I would definitely fold because the SB fish has many Ax hands if not all of them. But the A OTR reduces his number of combos significantly and doesnt complete any draws. You might actually consider bluffcatching here. He seems to be quite aggressive so far. It is close imho and either option call/fold is ok. I like your line before river. Both of them have many aces in their range.


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