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Is there a way to measure card distribution luck

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Bl1nd
Joined: 05.05.2020

I know there is the EV all in adjusted value in Holdem Manager but is there a way to measure how unlucky u are in card distribution, i play omaha, i know the brutal swings, but holy mother of god, my opponents GET EVERY CARD that they need, i just dont know what to do im miles under my EV line, but that is not all, just the sheer amount of folding i have to do because the board turns EVERY CARD that destroys my hand 99% of the time it is just astonishing, and no, im not a new poker player, i know how bad variance is in Omaha. But holy shit this feels like something so different, im used to losing flips being under EV line, but this is another whole thing it is like the game is fucking against me

I mean if u play with shit against AAxx it should be -EV in the long run, not for my opponents they flop everything. Flush draws? dont get me started, heads up second nut flush is a great flush, ill always complete my flush draw when the other guy is holding the nuts ALWAYS it is like I ALWAYS GET THE CARD that fucks me but i dont get the cards that make me win

In GG poker i play against the worst MANIACS U CAN FIND guys that play 96% of their hands, they always have it, ull be like second nut straight is enough NOPE the maniac has the nuts somehow, fullhouse? Nope he has the over full house. You just cant beat them... How can u adjust against a dude with 95% range that shows the nuts every hand and he plays like a maniac EVERY HAND?

Sorry for the rant had to vent i just cant take it 25 buy ins down


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VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Originally posted by Bl1nd
I know there is the EV all in adjusted value in Holdem Manager but is there a way to measure how unlucky u are in card distribution, i play omaha, i know the brutal swings, but holy mother of god, my opponents GET EVERY CARD that they need, i just dont know what to do im miles under my EV line, but that is not all, just the sheer amount of folding i have to do because the board turns EVERY CARD that destroys my hand 99% of the time it is just astonishing, and no, im not a new poker player, i know how bad variance is in Omaha. But holy shit this feels like something so different, im used to losing flips being under EV line, but this is another whole thing it is like the game is fucking against me

Hi Bl1nd,
There is no way I know of, to measure card distribution luck.

I'm sure you know this, but the only cure for bad distribution luck is time.

The longer you play, the luck factor gets to even out for everyone.
What is left is the skill factor, and the mental game.

It appears from your post that you were a bit tilted.

Everyone claims that GGPoker is "soft", by which they mean that a larger-than-normal fraction of the players are idiots.
I think that many are masquerading as idiots, and that in fact GGPoker is no softer than any other site.

As for distribution luck, take a look at this site, and compare the best and worse lines.
https://www.primedope.com/poker-variance-calculator/

Scary, eh?

All the best,
VS


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