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AQo - defend vs squeeze - tough equity decision OTR

 
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Last Post by monteCarlol 6 years ago
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monteCarlol
monteCarlol
Joined: 24.08.2019
Posts: 1,063
11.12.2020, 22:35 +1

Villain: 22/0 (9 hands) not conclusive.

I guess, pre-flop and flop is ok?

Turn: I don't see a reason to raise, because most of the worse hands could fold, but I might still get value from them on the river if I just call.

River: Against AA, A9, AT, AJ, AQ, AK, 99, 22 I have almost 50% equity. Not sure if villain would shove AT here. Could also be a missed FD, but less likely. Sometime T9s. Very close, I am really not sure whether to call or to fold?

PokerStars - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 89 BB
SB: 115 BB
BB: 294 BB
UTG: 80.5 BB
Hero (MP): 100 BB
CO: 100 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♣ Q♦

fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, BTN calls 3 BB, fold, BB raises to 13 BB, Hero calls 10 BB, fold

Flop: (29.5 BB, 2 players) 9♦ A♠ 2♦
BB bets 11 BB, Hero calls 11 BB

Turn: (51.5 BB, 2 players) 4♣
BB bets 18 BB, Hero calls 18 BB

River: (87.5 BB, 2 players) 9♠
BB bets 67.5 BB, Hero calls 58 BB and is all-in


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6 replies
VorpalF2F
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VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010
Posts: 45,056
11.12.2020, 23:24

Originally posted by monteCarlol
I guess, pre-flop and flop is ok?

Turn: I don't see a reason to raise, because most of the worse hands could fold, but I might still get value from them on the river if I just call.

What is your opinion about raising that flop?

As for getting worse hands to fold, that is sometimes known as "realizing your equity", "charging full price for them to draw against me" or "betting for protection"
All of which are legitimate reasons to bet.


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_Anonymous_
_Anonymous_
12.12.2020, 06:20

Would you consider a 4 bet pre? Could the BB be squeezing light?


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Muzykkkk
Muzykkkk
Joined: 05.04.2020
Posts: 22
12.12.2020, 07:13

What happen


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Incog
Incog
Joined: 18.08.2006
Posts: 166
12.12.2020, 10:44

Pre: it's close for me between call/4bet. with AQs I would have prob. 4bet

rest is standard... I think sometimes u loose vs AK, sometimes u split and sometimes u are suprised that people on NL2 3barrel with Aj, AT and KK.


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monteCarlol
monteCarlol
Joined: 24.08.2019
Posts: 1,063
12.12.2020, 11:25

Originally posted by VorpalF2F

Originally posted by monteCarlol
I guess, pre-flop and flop is ok?

Turn: I don't see a reason to raise, because most of the worse hands could fold, but I might still get value from them on the river if I just call.

What is your opinion about raising that flop?

As for getting worse hands to fold, that is sometimes known as "realizing your equity", "charging full price for them to draw against me" or "betting for protection"
All of which are legitimate reasons to bet.

I am not an expert obviously, but I don't like raising the flop.
We would turn a hand with huge SD value into a bluff. A bluff with so much equity that we have a tough decision if villain shoves. I think raising is more about denying villain their equity than realizing mine. My equity is not very vulnerable. The FD is possible but negligible. So I think protection is not crucial here either.
I would say it is better to raise with very strong hands (2pair+) and the best draws.


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monteCarlol
monteCarlol
Joined: 24.08.2019
Posts: 1,063
12.12.2020, 11:35

Originally posted by MP348
Would you consider a 4 bet pre? Could the BB be squeezing light?

Yes that is an option. However, in the pre-flop charts that I currently use this is a call 100%.
MP vs ~12bb 3bet IP
- Depolarized 4bet: KK+, AKo
- Flat call: QQ-99, AKs-ATs, KQs, AQo
In general being in position favors calling, as well as hands with higher playability like suited ones, e.g.
AQo is an edge case I believe. Not sure why this is a call 100%. Maybe because it still dominates a lot of hands that people 3bet squeeze with?


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