Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

Overpair on the river but can I fold

5 Posts
5 Users
1 Reactions
1,058 Views
mjez1
Joined: 29.06.2015

PokerStars, Hold'em No Limit - $0.02/$0.05 - 5 players
Hand delivered by Upswing Poker

UTG: $5.00 (100 bb)
CO: $5.43 (109 bb)
BU: $5.24 (105 bb)
SB: $4.66 (93 bb)
BB (Hero): $5.94 (119 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.07) Hero is BB with Q Q
1 fold, CO raises to $0.15, 2 players fold, Hero 3-bets to $0.75, CO calls $0.60

Flop: ($1.52) 6 T J (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $0.73, Hero calls $0.73

Turn: ($2.98) J (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

River: ($2.98) 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $2.86, Hero ??


As played I think I made a mistake, I should c-bet at least 1/3 pot. x/call is probably a worse opinion.
Betting the turn doesn't make sense to me so I x/c for pot control. Villain's river bet is pretty big and seems like a heavy value bet but can I really fold here?


Reply
Quote
4 replies
LMcrow
Joined: 15.08.2006

turn check is fine, but i would also bet the turn for some frequenzy with QQ here.

You unblock some bluffs and block some bluffs, still you getting 33 % for a call, i would say its a call on the river with QQ you are to high in your range.
For example QQ-AA call 99-88 fold, AT maybe fold.
If Hero thinks for a calling range here i think QQ-AA is fine for example.


Reply
Quote
Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Originally posted by mjez1
As played I think I made a mistake, I should c-bet at least 1/3 pot. x/call is probably a worse opinion.

Exactly -- and I would up that to half pot, since broadway draws and flush draws are quite possible, and the last thing you want to do is give away a free card. Broadway draws are best, since you block two Queens but only one :diamond:


Reply
Quote
Casey55
Joined: 19.07.2010

I gave solver options of 1/3, 1/2 and roughly 3/4 pot, solver prefers the 1/2 and larger sizing with QQ, we have a little equity advantage but we have a premium hand here, Hero should have the eff nut advantage with overpairs, both players have the sets, maybe CO has more JTs but we have far more combos of over-pairs to make up for it. I would bet the flop here, I just checked solver to see if it agreed


Reply
Quote
sandraardnas
Joined: 11.01.2012

SInce 3b is so very big I assume this is quite big fish. If so, then bet pot flop and on turn probably allin with small spr.


Reply
Quote