PLO50, lead pure bluff in 3bet pot HU

Originally posted by Knavor
Hi,
I decided to lead bluff here on a baby flop because of the polarity advantage. I have no draw and no blocker, so I'm sure it's a good play. What do you think?

Not sure if this is some sort of sarcastic comment. No draw is not necessarily horrendous, though doesn't help either, but we would really like to have some blocker like A♦: to increase fold equity.

Its also kind of weird HH as if this is HU then we should be BU/SB and be in position postflop. Though perhaps it just got into HU and we had BB previous hand or something. Problem though in that scenario is that our normal SB range should be relatively tight and not consist of that many low card holdings.

Anyway this sort of hand without any diamond should check always theory wise. If betting we should have that A♦: as that will increase fe and allow some bluff possibilities if getting called.

Its also kind of weird HH as if this is HU then we should be BU/SB and be in position postflop.

It's a 6max table, but we where only 2 on this hand. I guess another player sat down and waited for BB.

Thank you for this review

Good example of vacuum vs long run strategy.

If we would play only this hand in our life, our strategy would be probably a bit different. But in our long run strategy, we should be thinking about our leading range. How often we want to lead, and then figure out how to construct that range.

If we play poker in a way where we lead "something" and "sometimes", we really don't have a strategy. We have just decisions based on feelings, not logic. What we should do, is to think first how balanced our leading range should be. And then come up with value range and bluffing range. Of course we would need to think about turn/river situations too, how often we can barrel with certain hands.

Solver leads this kind of board about 1/4 times, and very rarely without a diamond of either hit or straight blockers. In reality people at PLO25 over cbet in 3bet pots, even on these boards. And on the other hand, they under fold to single donks. So if you want to bluff the flop, you should barrel blank turns at least. Here the stack sizes are a bit short, as you would have SPR 1 on the turn. If he calls the flop and he has something, he probably calls turn often too. People in general are really bad in equities and pot odds.

What my experience in PLO25 and lower is, people stack off in 3bet pots WAY too wide. Therefore bluffing has a lot less value than in solver calculations. I have seen so often people shoving dry AA here or making a call down. Personally I wouldn't bluff/semibluff here without Ad in my hand.

Ah, somehow looked this was PLO25. At PLO50 there are a bit more better players, who require a bit more balanced approach.