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Facing raise on paired river with nut flush

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Castle93
Joined: 06.06.2011

PokerStars Zoom, Hold'em No Limit - $0.10/$0.25 - 6 players
Replay this hand on Upswing Poker

misteralex93 (UTG): $26.92 (108 bb)
N3W-3RA-69 (MP): $31.50 (126 bb)
Jaqueov (CO): $45.01 (180 bb)
kubuspstars (BU): $22.33 (89 bb)
meduZa777 (SB): $19.64 (79 bb)
doctrina222 (BB): $15.83 (63 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.35) Hero (misteralex93) is UTG with 9 A
misteralex93 (UTG) raises to $0.75, N3W-3RA-69 (MP) calls $0.75, Jaqueov (CO) calls $0.75, 3 players fold

Flop: ($2.60) 4 2 7 (3 players)
misteralex93 (UTG) bets $1.24, N3W-3RA-69 (MP) calls $1.24, Jaqueov (CO) folds

Turn: ($5.08) A (2 players)
misteralex93 (UTG) bets $3.67, N3W-3RA-69 (MP) calls $3.67

River: ($12.42) 7 (2 players)
misteralex93 (UTG) bets $8.18, N3W-3RA-69 (MP) raises to $16.36, misteralex93 (UTG) calls $8.18

Total pot: $45.14 (Rake: $2)

Showdown:
N3W-3RA-69 (MP) shows 2 2 (a full house, Twos full of Sevens)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 50%, Flop: 34%, Turn: 20%, River: 100%)

misteralex93 (UTG) mucks 9 A (a flush, Ace high)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 50%, Flop: 66%, Turn: 80%, River: 0%)

N3W-3RA-69 (MP) wins $43.14

I mean the raise just screams full house, especially with his line but I don’t think I can’t fold the nut flush when I’m getting nearly 5.5:1.


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8 replies
Pokamon
Joined: 15.04.2006

OTR i see two options: B/F w small sizing, or X/C. i prefer the latter, as i like to realize my equity.

i do not like your flop play though. you pick a small size there, indicating that you c-bet w high frequency.

you do not have a lot of FE here on a mono board w 2 villains.

so you either check range, or bet big w a small part of your range.


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Castle93
Joined: 06.06.2011

Agree with your first point. I think he checks behind too much and wanted to get value but I don’t mind x/c.

Disagree with your flop point though, apart from a small flush, bombing that flop doesn’t really with anything. Weaker value hands like sets / 2 pair, smaller is better for pot control. With top of my range, I want to keep weaker hands in. Checking that flop as the pre flop raiser with my range seems passive and weak. I’m not doing this with air but I’d play with the same lone Ad, overpairs, 1 pair with a diamond etc. Checking here seems pretty nuts to be but interested to hear your thoughts

Doug Polk made a joke that it’s always a good option to bet with a good hand and build a pot 😉


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Pokamon
Joined: 15.04.2006

the flop is good for your hand, but bad for your range.

when a board is bad for your range, you usually have to check. but you can expect a lot of action anyway, as villains also know, that the board is bad for you. so they will attack you here by betting and even multi barreling over several streets.

so checking here should not lose you any value at all. quite the contrary.


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Any info on the villain in this hand would be nice, but read less I don't think you're line is to bad. River min raise is suspicious, but tough to fold against a min raise. In the end villain missed value with his/her play. If villain shoves you would call as well.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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Castle93
Joined: 06.06.2011

Hey SDK, I play zoom on my phone without a hud so never any info unfortunately 😞

Yes I agree, he should have shoved, this looks stronger than a shove but very hard to fold with the odds just incase he’s overplaying a hand a beat. I don’t need to be good very often for it to be profitable


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

That's to bad, but even than you could have reads on villains, but it's tougher on a phone for sure and with ZOOM poker.


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EnriqueBunbury
Joined: 20.05.2010

Hello,
And x/c on the river? To give bluff an option and push us both his full and worse colors and some random?
Once we bet we are only committed to how many times he can play worse hands like this.

If we play x/c to a push we have to win 40% approx,


Mesa: 7♦4♦2♦ A♥ 7♣
       Equity   Ganar  Empate
MP3    62.50%  62.50%   0.00% { Ad9d }
SB     37.50%  37.50%   0.00% { 4h4s, 2h2s, A7s, 87s, 76s, KdQd, KdJd, QdJd, KdTd, QdTd, JdTd, A7o }

If villain doesn't push and pot bet or even smaller, the call is easier
The same with the nut flush it is difficult to leave considering that sets tend to raise before


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

It's really villian depended. You can also miss value with the flush if you check the river.
Check/callings seems passive as well. This seems like a cooler spot on the river I rhink.


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